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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://ir.lib.ncu.edu.tw/handle/987654321/68545

    Title: 景氣循環對婚育行為之影響;The Impacts of Business Cycle on Marriage, Divorce and Fertility Behaviors .
    Authors: 王英傑;WANG,YING-CHIEH
    Contributors: 產業經濟研究所
    Keywords: 景氣循環;婚育行為;結婚率;離婚率;生育率;生育意願;business cycle;marriage;divorce rate;birth rate;fertility
    Date: 2015-07-16
    Issue Date: 2015-09-23 12:19:52 (UTC+8)
    Publisher: 國立中央大學
    Abstract: 過去數十年來,全球經歷過幾次重大的金融危機,影響家計單位的行為,本研究主要目的為檢測景氣循環對於台灣國民婚育行為:結婚、離婚、生育的影響,以及了解我國的婚育行為是順景氣循環或逆景氣循環,以及其他跟婚育行為有關之變數:教育、收入、之影響。
    ;There were several economic crises in the past decades that had catastrophic influence to households in the globe. The influence of business cycle on marriage behavior such like getting marry, divorce and birthing in Taiwan is the major issue of this study. The empirical study will help us define the marriage behavior in Taiwan is procyclical or countercyclical and the effects of education, income and sex ratio.
    The empirical study will take two parts, first part will try to figure out the influence of business cycle on marriage behavior in county level that data was collected from Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and statistics, Executive Yuan, R. O. C. (Taiwan) from 1994 to 2013. Second part will focus on the effect of economic cycle on birthing will of female samples that data was collected from Survey Research Data Archive (SRDA) with specific years 2000, 2003, 2006, 2010 and 2013.
    The empirical study shows there is no influence on getting married by business cycle. The divorce rate is countercyclical which means when macroeconomic turn down the divorce rate will get higher. The major impact was around the age from 25 to 45 that lower degree of education would have more negative impact .The result of female birthing will shows it would get lower when macroeconomic turn down and females with high school degree but the effect of macroeconomic has been demolishing recent years.
    Appears in Collections:[產業經濟研究所] 博碩士論文

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