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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://ir.lib.ncu.edu.tw/handle/987654321/69090

    Title: 影響機場客貨運量之特徵因素分析;Determination and analysis toward impact factors for volume of airport passengers and cargoes in Taiwan
    Authors: 陳憶萍;Chen,Yi-ping
    Contributors: 營建管理研究所在職專班
    Keywords: 機場客運量;機場貨運量;關聯規則;K-means;決策樹;營運管理;airport passenger;cargo;rule association;k-means;decision tree;operational management
    Date: 2015-07-20
    Issue Date: 2015-09-23 15:20:01 (UTC+8)
    Publisher: 國立中央大學
    Abstract: 政府於不同時期因應國際及國內經濟提出相對之政策與產業經濟發展,均影響航空客、貨運量發展情形,惟過去研究多著重於採用不同模式預測航空客、貨運量,本研究期望找出航空運量資料分類之重要特徵及其規則,作為機場經營策略調整及政府航空政策之參考。本研究以2001年1月至2014年12月共144個月的機場航空客貨運及32個經濟相關指標作為資料庫之基礎,運用資料探勘中之K-means演算法及決策樹分析法,找出資訊電子工業生產指數、平均每人所得、就業人數、日本日經225指數等4項特徵因素,其規則為當資訊電子工業生產指數大於83.22時為第2群集,當資訊電子工業生產指數小於等於83.22、且平均每人所得小於等於3,222.00美元時為第1群集,當資訊電子工業生產指數小於等於83.22、平均每人所得大於3,222.00美元、且就業人數小於等於10,134千人時為第5群集,當資訊電子工業生產指數小於等於83.22,平均每人所得大於3,222.00美元,就業人數大於10,134千人,而日本日經225指數小於等於10,546.44者為第3群集,反之,日本日經225指數大於10,546.44者為第4群集。
    ;The volume of passengers and cargoes usually represent the economic development of a country. It is important to assure its airport(s) that are able to deal with the volume. The objectives of the study are to determine the impact factors and to analyze these factors so as to make suggestions for future operational plans to airport development. Investigating impact factors from literature review, we determine 32 features that influence the volume of imports and passengers in Taiwan. Data collected from a governmental databank containing detailed information for the past 144 months from 2001 to 2014 in Taiwan are the bases. K-means and decision tree C5.0 are employed to obtain 4 rules that divide the data into 5 clusters. These 4 rules and their corresponding thresholds are: IT (Information Technology) production index, 83.22; NI (National Income), $3222USD; employed population, 10.134 million; JP-NKY (Nikkei Stock Average 225 Index), 10546.44, respectively. The analyses based on the decision rules show the trends that explain how to make adjustments associated with airport operational strategies and further investment to the airport(s).
    Appears in Collections:[營建管理研究所碩士在職專班] 博碩士論文

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