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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://ir.lib.ncu.edu.tw/handle/987654321/77342

    Title: 罷工對需求面造成的影響-以中華航空為例
    Authors: 王弈翔;Wang, Yi-Hsiang
    Contributors: 產業經濟研究所
    Keywords: 罷工;中華航空;需求面;Strikes;China Airlines;Demand side
    Date: 2018-07-27
    Issue Date: 2018-08-31 14:34:19 (UTC+8)
    Publisher: 國立中央大學
    Abstract: 中華航空在經歷了民國105年空服員歷史上的首次罷工後,為社會帶來了許多層面的議題,其中包括了導致這次罷工事件的背景、整起罷工事件的過程和後續帶來的影響,而本研究關注整起罷工事件對於中華航空需求面的影響,也就是說這起罷工事件,是否會影響到乘客以後對於搭乘中華航空的意願,以國外航空為例,過於頻繁的罷工,會導致乘客許多的不便,進而避免選擇這間航空公司,那在台灣,不同的環境下,情況是否會相同,導致中華航空需求面的負面影響,就是本研究的研究方向。
    ;After experiencing the first strike in 2016, China Airlines brought many issues to the society, including the background of the strike, the process of the strike and the impact of the follow-up. This study focused on the impact of the strike on the demand side of China Airlines. That is to say, whether this strike will affect the passengers’ willingness to take China Airlines in the future. Taking foreign aviation as an example, frequent strikes will lead to a lot of inconvenience to passengers, and thus avoid choosing this airline. Whether the impact be the same as foreign country in Taiwan is the main discussion of this research.
    Therefore, this study explored the impact of strikes on demand side and took China Airlines as an example. Under this labor dispute, the government should actively play a coordinating role to avoid strikes. Once the transportation industry strikes, it will definitely cause serious problems. The issue of Taoyuan City government refused to arbitrate was worth discussed. Finally, from the perspective of the domestic aviation industry, whether the strike of China Airlines indirectly affected the EVA Air.
    This study used monthly data of China Airlines passenger load factor as dependent variable to represent the change of demand. The study periods were from 2000 to 2017. The autoregressive model was used with time series data and the optimal lag period was in the second period. The main independent variables were the dummy variables of the incidents which affecting the passenger load factor, in order to explore how the demand side was affected by the incidents.
    Observing the regression results, it was found that the strike were not significant in either short-term or long-term. The results might be related to the low frequency of domestic strikes, the limited carrying capacity of the domestic aviation industry, and the rigidity of specific groups. EVA Air also had no significant influence due to these reasons. After all, compared with foreign countries, the possibility of strikes occur in Taiwan was very low. The demand was difficult to significantly affected by one strike.
    Appears in Collections:[產業經濟研究所] 博碩士論文

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