台灣製造業廠商轉業行為

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台灣製造業廠商轉業行為

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摘要(中)

本論文旨在利用實証研究的方法，探討且分析台灣製造業裡廠商從事轉業策略所造成的影響。藉由此議題的探討，可以讓我們更加了解台灣製造業的演進，以及充分了解廠商之發展與演進。因此，本論文以廠商的轉業的角度，探討三個有關於市場的演進的議題，以期能夠建立完整的分析架構。
根據本文的分析架構，本論文首先針對產業動態的相關文獻加以回顧。並且針對「台灣製造業的參進與退出」、「參進型態與參進後績效－台灣電子業的實証研究」、「轉出與退出廠商的比較」三個不同的相關議題，提出一些異於以往文獻的觀點與分析。此外，有關上述以台灣製造業為研究對象的探討，在台灣的實証研究裡尚不多見。
在「台灣製造業的參進與退出」的研究裡，本論文利用75年、80年以及85年的工商普查資料，來探討台灣製造業廠商參進與退出的相關性與對稱性以及其決定因素。此外，由於台灣製造業轉業的情形相當普遍，本論文亦討論轉業對於廠商參進與退出的影響。實証估計的結果顯示：影響參進與退出的因素並未出現對稱性，參進與退出的相關性則可由填補效果和取代效果來解釋，且該二效果同時存在。至於參進與退出的影響因素方面，轉業率則為參進率與退出率的主要影響因素之一。
在「參進型態與參進後績效－台灣電子業的實証研究」的研究裡，本論文同樣也利用民國75年、80年以及85年的工商普查資料，探討並比較影響台灣電子業新參進與轉業參進廠商存活機率與成長的因素。實証結果顯示新參進與轉業參進的不同參進型態廠商，在參進後的存活率與成長率績效表現上，存在顯著的差異。存活機率方面，新參進廠商的存活率顯著低於轉業參進廠商，但存活後的新參進廠商，其成長率卻又顯著的高於轉業參進的存活廠商。此外，不同參進型態之參進後績效的影響因素亦有所不同。
在「轉出與退出-1992年電子業廠商之追蹤分析」裡，本論文結合多元且隨機效果的波比模型(Random Effect and Multinomial Probit Model)與1992年到1999年的工廠校正資料。探討並且比較1992年台灣地區之電子業廠商，在7年的追蹤之下，影響離開原來產業(退出與轉入其他產業)的決定因素。此外，基於廠商的決策會受到前期決策的作用，本文在機率選擇的考慮上亦加入序列相關(Serial Correlation)。實証結果顯示影響廠商退出與轉出的因素並不相同。首先，在廠商特性方面，當廠商的規模愈小，資本勞動比愈高時，愈會增加轉入其他產業的機率。同時委外包工的比例愈高時，則將造成廠商離開原來的機率下降。其次，在產業環境方面，當產業的成長率愈高，最小有效規模愈小時，廠商愈不願意離開原來的產業。但是產業的參進率則是對於退出與轉出產生不同的影響。

關鍵字(中)

★ 加入
★ 退出
★ 轉業

關鍵字(英)

★ switch
★ exit
★ entry

論文目次

目錄
第一章緒論
第一節前言 …………………………………………………………………. 1
第二節資料來源與研究方法 ………………………………………………. 2
第二章產業動態的文獻回顧
第一節前言 ………………………………………………………………… 5
第二節廠商的成長 ………………………………………………………… 6
第三節參進與退出 ……………………………………………………….. 8
第四節參進與退出的相關性 ………………………………………………17
第五節參進後的績效 ………………………………………………………20
參考文獻 ……………………………………………………………………… 22
第三章台灣製造業的參進與退出
第一節前言 …………………………………………………………………30
第二節參進和退出的關聯性 ………………………………………………32
第三節資料來源與實証模型 ……………………………………..……….35
第四節實証結果 ……………………………………………………………40
第五節結論 …………………………………………………………………45
參考文獻 ……………………………………………………………………… 47
第四章參進型態與參進後績效
第一節前言 …………………………………………………………………52
第二節新參進與轉業參進廠商的基本特性比較 …………………………54
第三節實証模型與變數說明 ………………………………………………57
第四節實証結果 ……………………………………………………………62
第五節結論 …………………………………………………………………67
參考文獻 ……………………………………………………………………… 69
第五章轉出與退出
第一節前言 …………………………………………………………………73
第二節資料來源與相關說明 ………………………………………………76
第三節實証模型 ……………………………………………………………79
第四節實証結果 ……………………………………………………………86
第五節結論 …………………………………………………………………90
參考文獻 ……………………………………………………………………….92
第六章結論
第一節本論文的特色 ………………………………………………………96
第二節本論文的發現 ………………………………………………………96

參考文獻

第二章的參考文獻
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第三章的參考文獻
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指導教授

陳忠榮(JONG-RONG CHEN)

審核日期

2002-11-5

推文