博碩士論文 943402018 詳細資訊




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姓名 陳屏甫(Ping-Fu Chen)  查詢紙本館藏   畢業系所 土木工程學系
論文名稱 預防性維護下橋梁構件劣化分群與關聯規則之研究
(Preventive Maintenance Based Bridge Components Deterioration Clustering and Association Rules)
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摘要(中) 橋梁是道路的樞紐,扮演著運輸的重要角色。近年來多數橋梁的橋齡漸增,橋梁本身狀況也隨之劣化,有必要採取維修或補強措施,但橋梁劣化之時間點並不容易預估,這也是導入預防性維護觀念之重要議題之一。為了掌控橋梁劣化狀況,各國目前均建置橋梁管理系統,並訂定檢測方法與機制,使橋梁歷史之維護與檢測紀錄可以完整保存,但利用歷史資料庫進行後續劣化加值分析之研究仍十分有限。導致橋梁劣化之因素眾多,除了橋梁自身的材質、構造形式外,與外部環境也有相當程度的關聯,例如交通流量或是降雨量等環境因素。本文即利用美國自1992年起建立之National Bridge Inventory (NBI) 資料庫進行資料探勘,該資料庫除了蒐集各州橋梁基本資料外,也完整記錄每一年檢測的歷史紀錄,是目前資料最為豐富且可公開取得之橋梁歷史資料庫。本研究透過K-Means、Two -Steps分群方法與C5.0分類方法進行分析,可將橋梁歸納成數個不同橋群,並描繪橋梁劣化分群與其規則的決策樹,續以關聯分析Apiori進行構件間劣化關聯,未來橋梁養護人員可根據該決策樹結果,清楚了解轄內橋梁可能所屬之群組,並對應其可能之劣化,提早因應,導入預防性維護管理之概念,使災害防患於未然,除了可以保障用路人之安全,更可以延長橋梁使用壽命,樽節橋梁公共工程維護預算。
摘要(英) Bridge is the interjunction of the roads and plays a crucial role in transportation. In recent years, the age of most bridges in Taiwan has gotten old gradually; as a result, the bridges deteriorate and need to be fixed and maintained. Nevertheless, it is not easy to predict the timing of bridge deterioration, and such situation has become one of the important issues in introducing the concept of preventive maintenance. In fact, in order to control the condition of bridge deterioration, many countries have set up bridge management system and regulated methods and mechanism of inspection. The record of bridge maintenance and inspection history is therefore well preserved, but the number of researches utilizing value added analysis of bridge deterioration with database of history is limited. There are many factors that contribute to bridge deterioration. In addition to the materials and forms of elemention of the bridges, it is associated with external environments as well, including environmental factors as traffic flow or rainfall. The present paper adopts National Bridge Inventory (NBI) established by USA since 1992 to process data mining. Currently, the database is the most abundant and publicly accessible database of bridge history, not only collecting basic information of bridges in each state, but keeping a complete record of the inspection history every year. This research processes analysis by means of Two –Steps, C5.0, and Apriori categorizing bridges into several different clusters and depicting the decision-making tree of clustering and association rules of bridge deterioration. In the future, bridge maintenance personnel can gain a clear idea of the cluster of the bridges they are responsible for according to the results of the decision tree. They can also cope with possible deterioration in advance by introducing the concept of preventive maintenance management. Consequently, the disasters can be avoided, the safety of pedestrians can be ensured, and the bridge maintenance budget of public engineering can be economized.
關鍵字(中) ★ 資料探勘
★ 橋梁預防性維護
★ 美國橋梁資料庫
★ 分群分析
★ 分類分析
★ 關聯性分析
關鍵字(英) ★ Data mining
★ Bridge Preventive maintenance
★ National Bridge Inventory
★ Two-step
★ C5.0
★ Apriori
論文目次 摘要 ii
ABSTRACT iii
誌謝 v
目錄 vi
第一章 緒論 1
1.1 前言 1
1.2 研究動機與目的 2
1.3 研究範圍 2
1.4 研究流程 3
第二章 文獻回顧 5
2.1 橋梁預防性維護相關研究 5
2.2 橋梁劣化相關研究 9
2.3 橋梁狀態資料探勘相關研究 18
2.4資料探勘方法與發展 19
2.4.1 資料分群技術 20
2.4.2 資料分類技術 22
2.4.3資料探勘軟體 23
2.5 National Bridge Inventory(NBI)相關研究 23
2.5.1 NBI資料庫 23
2.5.2 使用NBI資料庫進行之研究 27
2.5.3 與NBI資料庫相關的網站 28
第三章 研究方法與流程 33
3.1 研究流程 33
3.1.1 商業理解階段 35
3.1.2 資料理解階段 35
3.1.3 資料預備階段 35
3.1.4 塑模階段 37
3.1.5 評估階段 38
3.1.6 部署階段 39
3.2 資料探勘方法 39
3.2.1 K-means 39
3.2.2 C5.0決策樹 40
3.2.3 Apriori關聯分析 40
3.3 資料處理流程 41
3.3.1 資料蒐集 41
3.3.2 資料刪除與修正 48
3.3.3欄位篩選 48
3.3.4 樣本篩選 49
3.3.5資料轉換 50
第四章 橋梁資料分群與規則 52
4.1紐約州橋梁分群分析 52
4.2 紐約州橋梁分群規則分析 53
4.3紐約州橋梁分群規則彙整 62
第五章 紐約州橋梁劣化分析 64
5.1 紐約州橋梁劣化趨勢分析 64
5.2 紐約州橋梁構件劣化關聯分析 76
5.3 橋梁構件劣化關聯規則分級 85
5.4 模式可行性與資料可參考性 87
第六章 結論與後續研究建議 89
6.1 結論 89
6.2 研究貢獻 90
6.3 後續研究建議 91
參考文獻 93
附錄一 95
附錄二 橋梁屬性欄位輸入 102
附錄三 專家訪談問卷 110
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指導教授 黃榮堯(Rong-Yau Huang) 審核日期 2014-8-26
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