台灣南部隱沒帶地震地動預估式之研究

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劉姸希(Yen-Hsi Liu) 查詢紙本館藏

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應用地質研究所

論文名稱

台灣南部隱沒帶地震地動預估式之研究
(Ground-motion prediction equation for subduction-zone earthquakes in southern Taiwan)

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摘要(中)

地動預估式是用來評估地動值隨距離衰減的公式，為地震危害度分析中重要的一環。藉由地動預估式可估算場址可能受到的地動值大小，進而作為工程設計上及防災上的考量。
台灣位於歐亞大陸板塊與菲律賓海板塊的交接地帶上，兩板塊的交互作用在台灣外海形成兩個隱沒帶構造，分別是位於東北部外海的琉球隱沒帶和西南部外海的馬尼拉隱沒帶。不同的震源類型其震波特性與衰減模式不盡相同，過去針對台灣隱沒帶地震所建立的地動預估式是以東北部的地震資料來建立，在進行地震危害度分析時，兩個隱沒帶地震皆採用相同的地動預估式，但南部隱沒帶地震與東北部隱沒帶地震的衰減特性可能有所不同，且近幾年來南部隱沒帶地震的資料也較足夠，故本研究針對南部隱沒帶地震建立地動預估式。
本研究以臺灣強地動觀測網1991年至2020年的資料，進行基線校正與濾波並計算反應譜，透過迴歸分析建立台灣西南部隱沒帶地動預估式，供地震危害度分析應用。

摘要(英)

Ground-Motion Prediction Equation (GMPE) serves a crucial role in estimating earthquake ground motion, particularly in seismic hazard analysis. Utilizing a GMPE allows us to assess potential ground motion at a specific site of interest and apply this information to engineering design and hazard mitigation purposes.
Taiwan occupies a pivotal position at the convergence boundary of the Philippine Sea plate and the Eurasian plate. The interaction between these plates has created two distinct subduction zones: the Ryukyu subduction zone in northeastern Taiwan and the Manila subduction zone in the southern region. Existing GMPEs for subduction-zone earthquakes in Taiwan mainly come from earthquake data in northeastern Taiwan. However, the attenuation characteristics of earthquakes in the southern subduction zone may be different from those in the northeastern subduction zone. Also, as more earthquake data becomes available, there emerges a need to establish a GMPE specifically tailored for subduction-zone earthquakes occurring in southern Taiwan.
In this study, we utilized strong motion data spanning from 1991 to 2020, recorded by TSMIP. This data has been carefully processed, including baseline correction, filtering, and the calculation of response spectra for furthere use. Leveraging nonlinear regression techniques, we endeavored to construct a set of dedicated GMPEs intended for the earthquakes in the southern subduction zone of Taiwan.

關鍵字(中)

★ 地動預估式；台灣南部隱沒帶地震；地震危害度分析；非線性迴歸分析

關鍵字(英)

★ Ground-motion prediction equation；Subduction-zone earthquakes；Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis；Non-linear regression analysis

論文目次

第一章緒論 1
1.1 研究動機與目的 1
1.2 文獻回顧 2
1.2.1 國內隱沒帶地動預估式之研究 2
1.2.2 國外隱沒帶地動預估式之研究 4
第二章研究區域背景概述 14
2.1 台灣地體構造簡介 14
2.2 台灣西南部隱沒帶構造 16
2.3 隱沒帶地震介紹 16
第三章資料蒐集與處理 19
3.1 地震資料來源 19
3.2 地震測站及相關資訊來源 21
3.2.1 規模參數 21
3.2.2 距離參數 22
3.2.3 測站場址參數 23
3.2.4 地動參數 24
3.3 地震歷時資料處理 26
3.3.1 基線校正 26
3.3.2 高通濾波 28
3.3.3 反應譜加速度計算 30
第四章研究方法 31
4.1 研究流程 31
4.2 台灣南部隱沒帶範圍 33
4.3 隱沒帶地震分類 37
4.4 強震資料選取 38
4.5 地動預估式建立 41
4.5.1 規模項 42
4.5.2 幾何擴散項 43
4.5.3 深度項 50
4.5.4 場址項 50
4.5.5 震源類型項 51
4.5.6 震源機制項 51
4.5.7 非彈性衰減項 53
4.6 地動預估式回歸分析方法 57
4.6.1 最大概似法 57
4.6.2 混合效應模型 57
4.6.3 統計軟體R 60
第五章研究結果 61
5.1 地動預估式回歸成果 61
5.2 界面型地震與內部型地震之反應譜比較 76
第六章討論 80
6.1 本研究與前人研究之比較 80
6.2 屏東雙主震 90
6.3 不同Vs30下之反應譜 93
第七章結論與建議 94
7.1 結論 94
7.2 建議 94
參考文獻 95
附錄A 本研究選用之南部隱沒帶地震參數 102
附錄B 本研究選用之國外隱沒帶地震參數 106
附錄C 本研究整理之各測站不同來源Vs30 參數 108
附錄D 界面型地震各週期之地動預估式成果 179
附錄E 內部型地震各週期之地動預估式成果 200

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審核日期

2024-1-18

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