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    题名: 具廣義伽瑪壽命分佈之系統在隱蔽資料加速壽命試驗下之可靠度分析;Accelerated Life Tests of Series System with Masked Data Under Generalized Gamma Lifetime Distributions
    作者: 陳奕君;Yi-chun Chen
    贡献者: 統計研究所
    关键词: 有母數拔靴法;隱蔽資料;階段加速試驗;定應力加速試驗;廣義伽瑪分配;期望值- 最大化演算法;step-stress accelerated life testing;EM algorithm;masked data;parametric bootstrap method;constant stress accelerated life testing
    日期: 2011-06-30
    上传时间: 2012-01-05 14:42:33 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 本文討論物件壽命在不同分配下隱蔽的情形,在物件壽命為廣義伽瑪分配時,我們分別討論單物件和多物件壽命分配之位置參數和應力間具線性關係且服從對稱假設之定應力加速試驗;當物件壽命為指數分配時,我們討論多物件串聯系統的隱蔽機率和物件之壽命有關,物件壽命與應力間具對數線性關係下物件壽命分配服從累積暴露模型之階段加速試驗。我們利用概似比檢定去選擇合適的壽命分配,在以期望值-最大化演算法去求得模型中參數之最大概似估計和以有母數拔靴法估計其標準誤,並且在正常應力條件下,物件和系統之平均壽命及可靠度函數之統計推論。模擬結果顯示,當樣本數夠大時,使用廣義伽瑪分配去配適資料會有不錯的結果,但計算上會較耗時;反之若以指數分配去配適廣義伽瑪分配的資料,其結果會較不理想。 In this thesis, we consider masked lifetime data with different distributions under Type-I censoring scheme. For generalized gamma lifetime distribution, we discuss the constant stress accelerated life testing in which the location parameters of the generalized gamma lifetime distributions of the components is of a linear relationship with the stress variables.For exponential lifetime distribution, we discuss the step-stress accelerated life testing in which the mean life time of each component is a log-linear function of the levels of the stress variables. We utilize the likelihood ratio test to select the appropriate lifetime distribution. The maximum likelihood estimates via EM algorithm is developed for the model parameters with the aid of parametric bootstrap method to estimate the resulting standard errors when the data are masked. Simulation results show that in large samples using the generalized gamma distribution to fit data is more robust, but the calculation is more time-consuming. Conversely, if using the exponential distribution to fit the generalized gamma data, the results are not so accurate.
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