台灣加權股價指數的漲跌是否會誘發急性心臟病?

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题名:	台灣加權股價指數的漲跌是否會誘發急性心臟病?
作者:	李宗霖;Lee,Tsung-Lin
贡献者:	產業經濟研究所在職專班
关键词:	台灣加權股價指數;固定效果;急性心肌梗塞;氣溫;acute myocardial infarction;fixed effect;TAIEX;temperature
日期:	2013-05-07
上传时间:	2013-06-19 15:24:26 (UTC+8)
出版者:	國立中央大學
摘要:	中文摘要：本篇論文旨在探究台灣加權股價指數的漲跌是否會誘發急性心臟病?由於相關研究指出，台灣加權股價指數的漲跌對國人腦中風發生率具有顯著的正向影響，而心血管疾病多年來持續高居台灣地區國人十大死二、三位，為癌症之外對國人影響最大的嚴重疾病，且心血管疾病有諸多相關致病原因，因此本研究以急性心肌梗塞為研究議題，驗證台灣加權股價指數的漲跌是否會誘發急性心臟病?資料採用西元1998年至2007年的10年資料，除採用前述相關研究的實證方法與變數外，更增加醫學上誘發急性心肌梗塞的主要因素－氣溫，以了解股價指數變動在急性心肌梗塞誘發因素中所扮演的角色；同時為求嚴謹，將資料期間增長為10年，涵蓋台灣股市的多空頭期間，以驗證不同的股價表現時期，對急性心肌梗塞影響的效果。本研究實證估計實證結果顯示，原本預期的加權股價指數變數，對解釋急性心肌梗塞的誘發效果並不顯著，僅對50歲以上族群稍有影響。氣溫相關因素與人口結構老化的時間趨勢才更顯著的影響急性心肌梗塞的發生。而加權股價指數因素僅只有邊際影響效果，並不足以充分解釋急性心肌梗塞的誘發主因；因此，急性心肌梗塞的誘發因素，仍應以氣溫因素與人口老化為主要因子。關鍵詞：急性心肌梗塞、氣溫、台灣加權股價指數、固定效果ABSTRACTThe purpose of this thesis is to explore precious research show that the Taiwan Stock Exchange Capitalization Weighted Stock Index (TAIEX) induced acute heart attacks. Related study, the ups and downs of the TAIEX has a significant positive impact on the people stroke incidence, and cardiovascular disease has been sustained in second or third position of Taiwan people ten leading causes of death for many years and also it is the greatest impact of serious diseases other than cancer.?Cardiovascular disease has many related causes, so this study in acute myocardial infarction(AMI) to be research issues to verify TAIEX change induced acute heart disease. The database of this study is during 1998 to 2007. In addition to adapt above related studies which are empirical methods and variables, we add temperature, the mail factor in medically induced AMI, to understand the importance of changes in the TAIEX in AMI induced factors. For demanding a rigorous study I?increase database searching more than 10 years, covering Taiwan's stock market short period and long period, in order to verify the different stock price performance period, of acute the effect of myocardial infarction.In this paper, we establish the panel data of the county’s daily AMI and county’s daily temperature and TAIEX. Empirical research methods we use the model for panel date to regression analysis and then also used fixed effect model to control for heterogeneity of different counties. The empirical results show that, originally expected the variables - TAIEX of to explain AMI induced effect is not significant. But temperature factors and aging of population for the time trend are more significant to AMI. While the TAIEX are only marginal effects, is not sufficient to fully explain the induced main cause of AMI. Therefore, the predisposing factors for AMI, should be the temperature factors as the main factor.Key words： acute myocardial infarction, temperature, TAIEX, fixed effect
显示于类别:	[產業經濟研究所碩士在職專班 ] 博碩士論文

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