摘要(英) |
The water supply of Taoyuan County mainly comes from Shihmen Reservoir. Severe droughts were witnessed in 2002~2004. Typhoon Aere, striking northern Taiwan in 2004, caused high turbidity of inflow into the reservoir, and forced water purification plants to shut down. This resulted in suspension of the water supply in Taoyuan for over 2 weeks. In order to solve the water deficit dilemma, Water Resources Agency formulated project “Implementation Plan of Shihmen Reservoir and Its Catchment Management Project”.
This study utilized System Dynamics software“VENSIM”to build dynamics models for Shihmen Reservoir water supply system, which includes Multi-layer intake and Zhongzhung water storage pool. This study investigates Reliability, SI (Shortage Index) and DPD (Deficit Percent Day Index) of different water purification plants (Lungtan, Pingzhen, Shihmen, Danan and Banxin) associating with different water supply regions (north Taoyuan, south Taoyuan, and Shihmen reservoir water supply system).
According to the results, the Reliability and SI in Banxin water purification plant is the worst. On the other hand, north Taoyuan’s Danan water purification plant is the best. The DPD of each water shortage event in Shihmen Reservoir water supply system was lower than the tolerance level of water shortage, defined as DPD being 1500 %-day, with the average 87.76 %-day. After adding Multi-layer intake and Zhongzhung water storage pool on the system, the water deficient days reduced by 19% while water deficit reduced by 24%.
|
參考文獻 |
1. Hashimoto, T., Stedinger, J. R. and Loucks, D. P., “Reliability, Resiliency, and Vulnerability Criteria for Water Resources System Performance Evaluation”, Water Resource Research, 18(1), pp.14-20, 1982.
2. Hsu, S. K. “Shortage indices for water-resources planning in Taiwan”, Water Resources Planning and Management, 121(2), pp.119-131, 1995.
3. Jinno, K., Xu, Z. X., Kawamura, A. and Tajiri, K., “Risk Assessment of Water Supply System during Drought”, Water Resource Development, 11(2), pp.185-204, 1995.
4. Jenkins, M. W., Lund, J. R., Howitt, R. E., Draper, A. J., Msangi, S. M., Tanaka, S. K., Ritzema, R. S., Marques, G. F., “Optimization of California’s Water Supply System : Results and Insights”, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, Vol. 130, No. 4, pp.271-280, 2004.
5. Ranndall, D., Cleland, L., Kuehne, C.S., Link, G.W. and Sheer, D.P., “Water Supply Planning Simulation Model Using Mixed-Integer Linear Program Engine”, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, Vol. 123, No. 2, pp.116-124, 1997.
6. Srdjevic, B., Medeiros, Y. D. P., Faria, A. S., “An Objective Multi-Criteria Evaluation of Water Management Scenarios”, Water Resources Management, 18, pp.35–54, 2004.
7. Vogel, R. M., and Bolognese, R. A., “Storage-reliability-resilience-
yield relations for over-year water supply systems” , Water Resource Research, 31(3), pp.645–654, 1995.
8. Xu, Z., Jino, K., Kawamura, A., Takesaki, S., Ito, k., “Performance Risk Analysis for Fukuoka Water Supply System”, Water Resource Management, 12, pp.13-30, 1998.
9. 王偉雄,「系統動力模式分析缺水時期用戶水塔儲水效益之研究」,國立中央大學土木工程學系,碩士論文,2008。
10. 王鈺閔,「缺水指標與缺水風險之相關性」,國立中央大學土木工程學系,碩士論文,2009。
11. 石門農田水利會,「灌溉計畫書」,2008。
12. 石門農田水利會,「灌溉計畫書」,2009。
13. 石門農田水利會,「灌溉計畫書」,2010。
14. 台灣自來水公司第二區管理處,「自來水淨水廠操作管理評鑑97年度期中工作進度報告」,2008。
15. 李孟恩,「缺水風險指標之建立及其應用於評估桃園地區水資源系統」,國立中央大學土木工程學系,碩士論文,2011。
16. 林哲暐,「桃園地區乾旱時期供水風險之研究」,國立中央大學土木工程學系,碩士論文,2005。
17. 桃園農田水利會,「灌溉計畫書」,2008。
18. 桃園農田水利會,「灌溉計畫書」,2009。
19. 桃園農田水利會,「灌溉計畫書」,2010。
20. 陳明業,「淡水河水資源系統動力學模式與永續管理策略之研究」,國立台灣大學生物環境系統工程學系暨研究所,碩士論文,2002。
21. 張良正、虞國興、何智超、王鵬瑞,「區域及跨區供水調度可行性之評估」,行政院國家科學委員會專題研究計畫,2006。
22. 張婉茹,「應用系統動力學於多元化水資源策略模擬與分析-以台中地區為例」,國立交通大學土木工程研究所,碩士論文,2006。
23. 游山峰,「石門水庫運轉規線之研究」,台灣海洋大學河海工程學系,碩士論文,1999。
24. 經濟部水利署水利規劃試驗所,「提升臺灣水資源應用效率之研究」,2006。
25. 經濟部水利署北區水資源局,「石門水庫運用要點」,2007。
26. 經濟部水利署,民國97年8月核定「石門水庫及其集水區整治計畫-第1階段修正執行計畫」,2008。
27. 經濟部水利署,民國97年8月核定「石門水庫及其集水區整治計畫-第2階段執行計畫」,2008。
28. 經濟部水利署,「石門水庫水權水量之分析及研究檢討」,2008。
29. 經濟部水利署北區水資源局,「提升水庫供水能力-緊急供水工程暨水庫更新改善執行成果」,2008。
30. 經濟部水利署水利規劃試驗所,「中庄調整池可行性規劃」,2009。
31. 經濟部水利署,「石門水庫增設取水工報告」,2010。
32. 經濟部水利署,「石門水庫及其集水區整治計畫執行檢討報告(98年)」,2010。
33. 經濟部水利署北區水資源局,「石門水庫供水區整體水資源利用規劃-期末報告」,2010。
34. 蔡耀逸,「桃園地區短期缺水供需策略之研究」,國立中央大學土木工程學系,碩士論文,2007。
35. 鄭文明,「水庫上限對枯水期缺水風險之分析」,水利會訊第十二期,199-215頁,2009。
36. 鄭又瑜、柯思瑋、何智超、張良正,「水庫高濁度下供水風險分析研究-以石門水庫為例」,第19屆水利工程研討會,F76-F83頁,2010。
37. 劉子明,「氣候變遷對區域水資源衝擊評估整合系統之研究」,國立台灣大學生物環境系統工程學系暨研究所,博士論文,2010。
38. 蕭仲良、張良正、吳阜峻、陳宇文、何智超,「石門水庫乾旱時期供水應變機制之風險分析」,第19屆水利工程研討會,F67-F75頁,2010。
|