博碩士論文 93448002 詳細資訊




以作者查詢圖書館館藏 以作者查詢臺灣博碩士 以作者查詢全國書目 勘誤回報 、線上人數:11 、訪客IP:18.117.102.227
姓名 羅文綺(WenChi Lo)  查詢紙本館藏   畢業系所 財務金融學系
論文名稱 商業銀行經營環境研究
(A Study of the impact of environmental change for the commercial banks)
相關論文
★ 金融機構不良債權處理機制之研究★ 放款作業流程的滿意度調查研究 —以S銀行為例
★ 最適指數複製法之自動化建置:以ETF50為例★ 台灣公債市場與台幣利率交換交易市場動態關聯性之研究
★ 企業貸款債權證券化--信用增強探討★ 停損點反向操作指標在台灣期貨市場實證
★ 投資型保單評價-富邦金吉利保本投資連結型遞延年金保險乙型(VANB5)★ 工業銀行持股公司多角化策略、董事會特性及經營績效之研究
★ 停損點反向操作指標在台灣債券市場實證★ 匯率風險值衡量之實證研究-以新台幣、日圓、英鎊、歐元匯率為例
★ 探討央行升息國內十年期指標公債未同步上升之原因★ 台灣企業的大陸經營模式、治理機制與盈餘管理之研究
★ 信用風險模型評估—Merton模型之應用★ 資產管理公司購買不動產擔保不良債權評價之研究
★ 外資進入對本國問題銀行之影響★ 銀行如何訂定建築業的授信政策
檔案 [Endnote RIS 格式]    [Bibtex 格式]    [相關文章]   [文章引用]   [完整記錄]   [館藏目錄]   [檢視]  [下載]
  1. 本電子論文使用權限為同意立即開放。
  2. 已達開放權限電子全文僅授權使用者為學術研究之目的,進行個人非營利性質之檢索、閱讀、列印。
  3. 請遵守中華民國著作權法之相關規定,切勿任意重製、散佈、改作、轉貼、播送,以免觸法。

摘要(中) 本論文包含四篇關於商業銀行面對不同的經營環境下,可能受到的影響並分析其可能的對策。第一篇文章為「商業銀行在金融變革中其授信績效與銀行規模關係」,第二篇文章為「消費金融債務的協商機制」對金融機構股價表現之衝擊,第三篇文章為「利率水準對商業銀行風險承受之研究以中國為實證對象」,第四篇文章為「利率水準對商業銀行風險承受之研究以海峽兩岸實證為例」,最後,我們在最後一章說明論文的結論。
一、 商業銀行在金融變革中其授信績效與銀行規模關係
為瞭解本國銀行的小型企業放款有否較佳之經營績效,本研究擬以Carter-McNulty(2005)、Berger et al.(2005)提出的迴歸模型,檢測銀行規模、對企業的小型放款、法規和技術衍生的金融環境改變,如何影響本國銀行「企業放款」的淨利率,並以時間(變數符號TIME)作為金融環境改變之代理變數。在企業放款淨利率的影響因素方面,本文除了採用Carter-McNulty(2005)所建立的模型外,亦配合台灣特殊的銀行環境,將某些「特質」因素(俗稱控制變數) 加入,以建立符合理論與實務的數學模型。
結論如下:第一,當銀行放款規模越大時,企業放款淨利率即越低,不論大、小銀行皆然。當樣本銀行排除公營銀行時,結果也是大同小異,表示公營銀行與民營銀行對放款業務的經營頗為相似,受政府政策的影響不大。第二,新設銀行虛擬變數的結果顯示長期看來,1991年新設立的民營銀行放款績效平均而言已有改善。第三,小型企業放款擁有較高的放款淨利率,不管是大、小銀行都是這樣,但隨著時間演進而改變,相較於早期的企業放款市場,現在的銀行若增加小型企業放款比例,其企業放款淨利率的增幅並不會比以前多,意謂著早期的企業放款淨利率比現在高。最後,與之前文獻不一樣的是,本研究並未發現國內銀行業有「小銀行優勢」的現象,規模與企業放款淨利率存在顯著的正向關係;國內銀行的規模越大,則企業放款淨利率反而越高,表示over-banking的現象仍然存在,金融機構規模太小的問題還沒有完全解決;大銀行隨著時間演進已慢慢改善其放款績效,企業放款淨利率有慢慢增加的趨勢。
二、 「消費金融債務的協商機制」對金融機構股價表現之衝擊
旨在探討94年10月台灣爆發卡債問題後,政府推動的「消費金融案件債務協商機制」是否對金融機構的股價表現效產生衝擊。根據實證結果得知,金融控股公司和銀行受到的衝擊遠大於證券和保險公司;信用卡發卡量最高的金融機構受到的衝擊,則顯著高於發卡量中等和最低者;現金卡放款餘額高的金融機構承受的衝擊,也高於此類業務授信量中等和最低者;當配對比較不同類別的金融機構,發現此協商機制的推動,導致彼此的競爭態勢迥異,「債務協商機制」明顯造成金融機構不同程度的衝擊。
至於衝擊程度不一的原因,則與債務協商發生時,金融機構是否出現下列情況有關:信用卡餘額之市占率很高,最近三個月打消許多呆帳,卻又提存很少損失準備,分行家數不多,以及持卡人的額度動用率呈現頗高成長的銀行。這些類型的銀行在協商時期的累積異常報酬均為負值,顯示其對協商事件的暴險程度較高。政府機關宜從這次的債務協商機制學得政策監理的經驗,寧可預先制定防範於未然的警示指標提醒業者遵循,而非等到危機事件發生,才想透過銀行公會溝通和制訂相關的配套措施;因為此不僅無法協助金融機構規避經營危機,還連帶影響整個經濟體系的衰退。
三、 利率水準對商業銀行風險承受之研究--以海峽兩岸實證為例
本篇文章主要研究兩岸,中國大陸與台灣,不論在地理上、歷史上及未來展望中都有密不可分關係,海峽兩岸的銀行業面對如此嚴峻的利率水準變化是否也存在著風險承擔增加的現象。除此之外,銀行規模在銀行經營策略占有舉足輕重的地位,特別是兩岸的銀行規模迥異,對台灣西進的銀行而言,可能無法完全移植台灣經驗前往中國,而需參酌當地各項環境因地制宜,而對於中國的銀行而言,面臨利率市場化等市場環境改變,不同規模的銀行,經營模式是否也在逐步調整因應,也是值得探討的議題。實證結果發現: 1.大陸的銀行其風險性資產的持有規模變化對於利率水準改變並不顯著。台灣的銀行在利率愈低的環境下,會傾向增加持有風險性資產。2.兩岸的銀行利率水準改變下,大小型銀行對於是否增持風險性資產的策略是相反的,大銀行傾向在低利率水準下增加持有風險性資產,小型銀行則反之。3.不論在大陸或台灣,利率水準對於銀行的不良債權比率呈正向關係。
兩岸由於監理制度及金融自由化的程度不同,其經營策略的確實會有所差異。整體而言,在愈自由愈競爭的金融環境下,低利率水準確實會造成銀行業的經營壓力,而促使銀行採取更積極的涉險操作,但另一方面也有效改善企業或被貸放者的短期現金流量,進而降低銀行不良債權的產生。隨利率走升,不良債權比率升高,銀行業未能及時收縮資產負債表,則可能要面臨的是更巨大的挑戰及風險。

摘要(英) Abstract
This dissertation consists of three essays on the study of commercial banks and its business environment. The first essay is “Influence of Financial Reform on Business-Lending Performance of Large and Small Commercial Banks.” The second essay is “The examination of the impact of Consumer Debt Negotiation Mechanism on the Financial Institutions in Taiwan.” The third essay is “Interest Rates and Bank Risk-Taking – The case in China.” ”The fourth essay is “Interest Rates and Bank Risk-Taking –an Empirical Research across the Straits.” Last, we present the conclusion in the following sections.
Essay 1:
Influence of Financial Reform on Business-Lending Performance of Large and Small Commercial Banks
To analyze the performance of small business lending, this study uses the regression model of Carter and McNulty (2005) to test the relationships among loan spread, bank size, and financial reform. This article establishes a theoretical and practical mathematical model for unique banking environment in Taiwan. The conclusion and policy implications are as follows. First, bank spread reduces with increasing loan scale. Excluding government-owned banks gets similar results, and indicates similar behavior in government-owned and privatized banks. Second, the loan performance of new privatized banks improved in the long term. Third, if current banks increase their proportion of small business lending, the increase in loan spread remains unchanged, meaning the loan spread is previously higher than it currently is. Additionally, different from the literature of Carter and McNulty (2005), this study fails to find any small bank advantage, but did identify a significant positive relationship between size and loan spread; moreover, the loan spread increased with bank size, indicating that over-banking still exists and the problem of excessively small size of financial institutions remains incompletely resolved, with large banks having gradually improves their business-lending performance over time, slowly increasing the spread of business lending.
Essay 2:
The examination of the impact of Consumer Debt Negotiation Mechanism on the Financial Institutions in Taiwan
The purpose of this research is to discuss whether or not the government promotion of the “Consumer Debt Negotiation Mechanism” would impact financial institutions’ stock price after the explosion of the Taiwan card-debt problems on October of 2005. According to empirical results, financial holding companies and banks were impacted far more than securities and insurance companies. Financial institutions that issued the highest volume of credit cards were impacted significantly more than those that issued moderate and the lowest volume of credit cards. Financial institutions that gave more cash card loans were impacted more than those that gave moderate and the least cash card loans. When compared to different kinds of financial institutions, the promotion of this negotiation mechanism was discovered to cause vastly different mutual competition attitudes. Obviously, the Debt Negotiation Mechanism caused different degrees of impact on financial institutions.
The different degrees of impact were due to whether or not the following situations would occur to the financial institution when debt negotiation happened: 1. The market share percentage of the credit card balance was very high. 2. In the past three months, many bad debts were written off, but very little loss preparation was deposited. 3. Not enough number of branches. 4. Banks with overly high growth of the amount draw-down rate of the cardholders. As for these kinds of banks, their cumulative abnormal returns showed negative values during the negotiation period. This revealed that they had a higher degree of risks in negotiation events. Government institutions should learn a policy surveillance experience from this debt negotiation mechanism. They would rather have preventive measures against the unforeseen and establish warning signs to remind the financial institutions to follow. This would be better than formulating a relevant and complete set of measures through the banking union after the crisis happened. Because this set of measures would not assist the financial institution in avoiding management risks, and it would negatively contribute to the whole economy’s depression.

Essay 3:
Interest Rates and Bank Risk-Taking—The Case in China
A recent line of research views the low interest-rate environment as an element that triggered increased risk-taking appetite of banks in search for yield. However, they are difficult to apply to countries with monetary systems that differ significantly from those of the US and Europe, like China. Therefore, these papers use annual observations on China banks over the period 1996-2010 and presents strong empirical evidence that China is an important counterexample to the findings in the interest rate and bank-risk taking literature. Besides, publicly held banks are inclined to increase the risk assets giving a lower interest rate, and private owned banks will take the opposite action. Finally, changes in the ownership of Chinese banks have little or no effect on the bank’s risk choices when interest rate difference.
Essay 4:
Interest Rates and Bank Risk-Taking—an Empirical Research across the Straits
The differences in supervision systems and the varying degrees of financial liberalization between China and Taiwan, their operational strategies may indeed differ somehow. In a financial environment where larger freedom means more intense competition, a low interest rate will pose a big operation pressure on banking, and accordingly banks are forced to take risky operations more positively, yet on the other hand, if the commercial banks have guarantee of interest margin profit between lending and deposit, like 3% in China, the interest rate risk issue would be minor relative to other risk. This paper taking the commercial banks in China and Taiwan, and aims at discussing if a lower interest rate results in banks’ involvement in higher risky activities for profit pursuit. We found that, the risky asset held by banks in China do not take any significant influence on the level of interest rate. Banks in Taiwan are more inclined to have higher risk assets in a lower interest environment. Under the difference level in interest rate, large and small banks across the strait will adopt opposite strategies in risky assets, that is large banks have a higher risk-taking in a lower interest rate, while small banks take the opposite actions. Finally, regardless of China or Taiwan, the interest rate is positively correlated to the banks’ non-performing loan ratio.
關鍵字(中) ★ 風險承受
★ 利率
關鍵字(英) ★ Bank Risk-Taking
★ Interest Rates
論文目次 目 錄
頁次
中文摘要………………………………………………………………i
英文摘要………………………………………………………………iii
致謝……………………………………………………………………………ix
目錄……………………………………………………………………………x
表目錄…………………………………………………………………………xii
圖目錄…………………………………………………………………xiii
第一章 緒論 ……………………………………………………………1
第二章 商業銀行在金融變革中其授信績效與銀行規模關係………………7
2-1 Introduction……………………………………………………………7
2-2 Literature Review…………………………………………………… 8
2-3 Methodology………………………………………………………… 9
2-4 Empirical results and analysis……………………………………… 16
2-5 Conclusion……………………………………………………………26
第三章 「消費金融債務的協商機制」金融機構股價表現之衝擊…………28
3-1 研究動機與目的……………………………………………… ……28
3-2 研究背景與文獻回顧………………………………………… ……30
3-3 研究方法 …………………………………………………………33
3-4 實證結果 ……………………………………………………………36
3-5 債務協商機制衝擊金融機構股價表現的決定因子…… …………44
3-6 結論 …………………………………………………………………50
第四章 利率水準對商業銀行風險承受之研究—以中國為實證對象……53
4-1 Introduction …………………………………………………………53
4-2 Literature Review …………………………………………………55
4-3 Econometric model and data ……………………………………57
4-4 Empirical Results …………………………………………………61
4-5 Conclusion …………………………………………………………64
第五章 利率水準對商業銀行風險承受之研究—以海峽兩岸實證為例…83
5-1 Introduction …………………………………………………………83
5-2 Literature Review …………………………………………………86
5-3 Econometric model and data ……………………………………91
5-4 Empirical Results …………………………………………………94
5-5 Conclusion …………………………………………………………99
第六章 總結…………………………………………………………………125
參考文獻 Reference
Agur, I., and Demertzis, M., 2011. Excessive Bank Risk Taking and Monetary Policy. Working Paper.
Altumbas, Y., Gambacorta, L., and Marquez-Ibanez D., 2010. Does Monetary Policy Affect Bank Risk-Taking? BIS Working Paper N.298.
Barry, T.A., L. Lepetit, and A. Tarazi. (2011) “Ownership Structure and Risk in Publicly Held and Privately Owned Banks.” Journal of Banking and Finance, 35, 1327–40.
Berger, A. N., Hasan, I., and Zhou M., 2010. The effects of focus versus diversification on bank performance: Evidence from Chinese banks. Journal of Banking & Finance 34, 1417-1435.
Berger, A. N., Hasan, I., and Zhou M., 2009. Bank owership and efficiency in China: What will happen in the world’s largest nation?. Journal of Banking & Finance 33, 113-130.
Berger, A. N., Clarke, G. R. G., Cull, R., Klapper, L., and Udell, G. F., 2005. Corporate goverance and bank performance: A joint analysis of the static, selection and dynamic effects of domestic, foreign, and state ownership. Journal of Banking & Finance 29, 2179-2221.
Buth, C. M., Eickmeier, S., and Prieto, E., 2011. In Search for yield? Survey-based evidence on bank tisk taking. Wotking paper.
De Nicoló G., Dell’’Ariccia G., Laeven L., and Valencia F., 2010. Monetary Policy and Bank Risk Taking, IMF Working Paper.
Delis, M. D., Hasan, I., and Mylonidis, N., 2011. The risk-taking channel of monetary policy in the USA: Evidence from micro-level data. MPRA Working Paper.
Delis, M.D., Kouretas, G.P., 2011. Interest rates and bank risk-taking. Journal of Banking & Finance 35, 840-855.
Dell’’Ariccia, G., Laeven, L.A., Marquez, R.S., 2010. Monetary Policy, Leverage, and Bank Risk-Taking. SSRN eLibrary.
Dell’’Ariccia, G., Marquez, R., 2006. Lending Booms and Lending Standards. The Journal of Finance 61, 2511-2546.
Dress, B., Eckwert, B., and Várdy F., 2011. Cheap money and risk taking: opacity versus underlying risk, Working paper.
Demirgüç-Kunt, A., Detragiache, E., Tressel, T., 2008. Banking on the principles: Compliance with Basel Core Principles and bank soundness. Journal of Financial Intermediation 17, 511-542.
Fan, L., and Johansson A. C., 2010. China’’s offical rates and bond yields. Journal of Banking & Finance 34, 996-1007.
Fan, L., Tian, S., and Zhang, C., 2012. Why are excess returns on China’’s Treasury bonds sp predictable? The role of the monetary system. Journal of Banking & Finance 36, 239-248.
Fu X., and Heffernan, S., 2009. The effects of reform on China’’s bank structure and performance. Journal of Banking & Finance 33, 39-52.
Hu, X., 2011. The impact of financial innovation on moneatry ppolicy theory and practice. Ph D Dissertation. Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.
Ioannidou, V., Ongena, S.R., Peydro , J.-L., 2009. Monetary Policy, Risk-Taking and Pricing: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment. SSRN eLibrary.
Jia, C.,2009. The effect of ownership on the prudential behavior of banks-The case of China. Journal of Banking & Finance 33, 77-87.
Jimenez, G., J., Ongena, S.R., Peydro-Alcalde, and Saurina S.,, 2008. Hazardous Times for Monetary Policy: What Do Twenty-Three Million Bank Loans Say about the Effects of Monetary Policy on Credit Risk-Taking? SSRN eLibrary.
Keeley, M.C., 1990. Deposit Insurance, Risk, and Market Power in Banking. The American Economic Review 80, 1183-1200.
Laeven, L., Levine, R., 2009. Bank governance, regulation and risk taking. Journal of Financial Economics 93, 259-275.
Lin, X., and Zhnag, Y., 2009. Bank ownership reform and bank performance in China. Journal of Banking & Finance 33, 20-29.
Maddaloni, A., Peydró, J.-L., 2011. Bank Risk-taking, Securitization, Supervision, and Low Interest Rates: Evidence from the Euro-area and the U.S. Lending Standards. Review of Financial Studies 24, 2121-2165.
People’’s Bank og Republic of China (PBOC), 2000. Financial Outlook 2000. China Financial Publishing House, Beling.
Rajan, R.G., 2006. Has Finance Made the World Riskier? European Financial Management 12, 499-533.
Vanencia, F., 2011. Monetary Policy, Bank Leverage, and Financial Stability. IMF Working Paper.
Xu, S., and Zhang, X., 1995. Profound background of the 1994 fiscal tax reform in China, draft prepared for the fifth Tax Revenue Policy and Reform in Asian-Pacific Regions Symposium, Jakarta, Indonesia.
Zhou, S., 2005. What kinds of foreign strategic investor do the state-owned banks need? Jin Rong Shi Bao (Financial News), Nov 23, 2005, online version.
指導教授 陳錦村、張傳章
(Jing Twen Chen、Chuang-Chang Chang)
審核日期 2012-7-24
推文 facebook   plurk   twitter   funp   google   live   udn   HD   myshare   reddit   netvibes   friend   youpush   delicious   baidu   
網路書籤 Google bookmarks   del.icio.us   hemidemi   myshare   

若有論文相關問題,請聯絡國立中央大學圖書館推廣服務組 TEL:(03)422-7151轉57407,或E-mail聯絡  - 隱私權政策聲明