dc.description.abstract | Traffic accidents are an important issue of modern society, and transportation safety has been a key concern in Taiwan for a long while. According to 2017 statistics from the Ministry of Transportation and Communications, an average of 3,000 people died from traffic accidents in Taiwan annually. Motorcycle accidents correspond to the highest fatality rate and most serious degree of injury. Therefore, improving the safety of motorcycle transportation and reducing its casualties has become a priority. Using data released by the National Police Agency of Taoyuan City’s A1- and A2-type traffic accidents from 2014 to 2016, this study aimed at the person who was injured or died in the motorcycle accident. Using logit and multinomial logit model regressions, we empirically analyzed motorcycle accidents to determine characteristics of the person, environmental factors, road types, and major causes of accidents cause motorcycle fatalities.
Results of the logit regression model show that that several factors significantly increase the fatality rate of motorcycle traffic accidents, including driving without a license, drunk driving, nighttime driving, roundabouts, and major causes of accidents cause motorcycle fatalities. Results of the multinomial logit regression model show that students, employees, drunk driving, nighttime driving, roundabouts, and major causes of accidents cause motorcycle fatalities will lead to more serious casualties in motorcycle accidents. Additionally, using another multinomial logit regression model and assigning major causes of accidents cause motorcycle fatalities as dependent variables in model, we found that drivers who are students or employees are more likely to have accident-prone personalities and therefore be involved in motorcycle traffic accidents. | en_US |