| dc.description.abstract | Nowadays, the economy is highly globalized, and the development between
countries is very close. United States plays the most important role in global economy.
The United States and China are Taiwan’s top two trading partners. The US-China trade
war not only affects the economic and trade level, but also extends to finance and
currency aspects. In terms of financial currencies, the appreciation of the U.S. dollar and
the depreciation of the RMB have caused an exchange loss crisis for those Taiwan
companies with net positions in the RMB. The US-China trade war has had a significant
impact on Taiwan’s economic, trade and financial aspects. Taiwan’s networking
products stands for about 60% of Taiwan’s export value, and Taiwanese companies have
long established factories in the mainland, making it the most important production base
for Taiwan’s electronics supply chain. Therefore, with the start of the US-China trade
war. We re-adjust the direction of this study to the supply chain and explore whether it
has a significant impact on Taiwan and other countries through the US import value of
related products of Networking in various countries.
The research mainly discusses the impact of the US-China trade war on US imports.
The regression analysis is based on the data of the import amount of Networking
products from Taiwan (country) to the US (country) from 2010 to 2020, and the time
point is divided into two parts, one is before the US-China trade war, the other is after
the US-China trade war in which the Networking products has imported to the United
States for 11 years and 132 months and was used as the research target. The data source
is DataWeb, provided by the US International Trade Commission (USITC). Selected HS
codes: 8517, 8542, 8473 and 8471 is the main Networking industry subject matter, and
the amount of imports of US Networking products from China, Taiwan, South Korea,
Vietnam, Malaysia, and Mexico (unit: billion US dollars) is selected.
This study uses multiple regression analysis of the ordinary least square method
(OLS) to observe the changes in the amount of imports from the United States before
and after the US-China trade war. In addition, the amount imports to the United States
from China is used as the experimental group, and the amount of imports of US
Networking products from Taiwan, South Korea, Vietnam, Malaysia, and Mexico is IV
used as the control group. Time points, dummy variables, and time series are set to
discuss the before and after differences. Different in Different (DID) is used as a model
analysis tool, and other time trends or policy factors are excluded, so that we can clearly
understand the impact of the US-China trade war on US imports from this research. | en_US |