DC 欄位 值 語言 DC.contributor 工業管理研究所在職專班 zh_TW DC.creator 吳典融 zh_TW DC.creator Tien-jung Wu en_US dc.date.accessioned 2011-7-22T07:39:07Z dc.date.available 2011-7-22T07:39:07Z dc.date.issued 2011 dc.identifier.uri http://ir.lib.ncu.edu.tw:88/thesis/view_etd.asp?URN=984306003 dc.contributor.department 工業管理研究所在職專班 zh_TW DC.description 國立中央大學 zh_TW DC.description National Central University en_US dc.description.abstract 近年來面板產業因為製程技術日趨成熟，相關電視、手機、照相機等所使用的螢幕日漸普及，因此面板價格跌價迅速，企業因應之道除了保留核心技術，專注於研發，另外則是將人力使用較多的模組製程外包，已達到節省成本的目的。 採購的職責在於管理供應商以及代工廠、詢價與議價、尋找替代供應商、合約訂定等等，本研究是以企業中採購職位元的角度，使用資料探勘軟體Clementine 12.0英文版做為工具，以不同類型的類神經網路建立模型，分析其準確度，並且使用於預測代工費的報價，進而分析各家代工廠所報價的資訊，利用模型分析數據管理代工廠。 本研究模擬出的預測數據可以讓採購以及企業高層迅速的做決策，不管是作為採購外部議價籌碼，或是企業內部投資報酬率評估都有充分的可靠度。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract Recently years panel industry became mature because of production procedure technique improvement, panel is popularly used by television, cell phone, digital camera…, so the price of panel decreased rapidly. Enterprise not only reserves the core technique, concentrate on innovation, also out sourcing the module that uses more labor to save cost. The responsibility of procurement is supplier management, inquiry, negotiation, seek for subst itute supplier and contract agreement. Our research is on the procurement view, to use data mining software Clementine 12.0 as a tool, set up model with different type of Neural Networks, analyze the accuracy, estimate the expense of EMS factory, further analyze the quotation of each EMS factory, to make use of the model analysis data on EMS factory management. The data simulate from our research may be able help the manager of enterprise prompt make a strategic decision, not only provide the reliable data for procurement department take as price negotiate counters, also enterprise internal evaluate invent-return rate. en_US DC.subject 代工費 zh_TW DC.subject 類神經網路 zh_TW DC.subject 代工廠 zh_TW DC.subject 面板產業 zh_TW DC.subject neural networks en_US DC.subject EMS factory en_US DC.subject panel industry en_US DC.subject subcontract price en_US DC.title 以類神經網路預測代工費報價---以中小面板產業C公司為例 zh_TW dc.language.iso zh-TW zh-TW DC.title Subcontract Price Forecasting Using Neural Networks---Evidence from TFT-LCD C Company en_US DC.type 博碩士論文 zh_TW DC.type thesis en_US DC.publisher National Central University en_US