| 摘要(英) |
In this article, the gravity model and panel data model are used to examine how the trade liberalization measures took by Chinese goverment-being a member of WTO(World Trade Organization) and signing FTAs(Free Trade Agreement) influence Chinese export trade, based on a dataset of China and its 49 trade partners over the period of 1992-2009. In addition to estimating the effect on export trade of overall goods, export goods are divided to three types, primary, intermediate and final goods, and we also examine the effects on these three types of goods, effectively.
The estimated results from model illustrates these results. Joining WTO has a significantly positive effect on Chinese total, intermediate and final goods exports. However, the effect from signing FTA is uncertain. There are three probably main reasons, the number of countries signed FTA with China is very limited, it has not great export trade from China to these countries, the period of years China singing FTAs with other countries is not long enough, are the probably main reasons why the effect from singing FTAs is uncertain. Both joining WTO and signing FTAs have negative effects on Chinese primary goods export, according to the significantly increasing domestic demand for primary goods drived by Chinese strong economic growth. |
| 參考文獻 |
王茜（2012），世界貿易組織經濟學.北京:法律出版社。
劉宗欣，賴美穎，和陳至還（2012），「區域貿易協定對臺灣的貿易效果——引力模型的實證分析」，《經濟論文》，40:35-77。
Antkiewicz, Agata, and John Whalley. 2005. “China’s New Regional Trade Agreements.” The World Economy, 28(10):1539-57.
Baier, Scott L.,and Jeffery H.Bergstrand. 2007. “Do free trade agreements actually increase members’ international trade?” Jounral of International Economics, 71:72-95.
Bond, Eric W., Raymond G. Riezman, and Syropoulos Constantious. 2004. “A strategic and welfare theoretic analysis of free trade areas.” Journal of International Economics, 64:1-27.
Brouwer,Jelle,Richard Paap,and Jean-Marie Viaene. 2008. “ The trade and FDI effects of EMU enlargement.” Journal of International Money and Finance, 27:188-208.
Chirathivat, Suthiphand. 2002. “ASEAN-China Free Trade Area: Background, Implications and Future Development.” Journal of Asian Economics, 13:671-86.
Kohpaiboon, Archanun, and Juthathip Jongwanich. 2006. “Does FTA Export Creation Exist? Evidence from Thai Manufacturing.” prepared for Globalization and Regional Economic Development Conference.
Liou, Ming-Huan, Shi-Shu Peng, and Chih-Hai Yang. 2010. “ RMB Revaluation and China’s Trade: Does RMB Have Limited Effect on China’s Surplus?” Unpublished.
Nations, Palais D. 2004. “Is China’s accession to WTO threatening exports of developing countries?” China Economic Reviews, 15:109-44.
Park, Donghyun.2007. “The Prospects of the ASEAN-China Free Trade Area (ACFTA): A Qualitative Overview.” Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 12(4):485-503.
Roberts, Benjamin A. 2004. “ A Gravity Study of the Proposed China-ASEAN Free Trade Area.” The International Trade Journal, 18(4):335-53.
Shafaeddin, S M. 2004. “Is China’s Accession to WTO Threatening Exports of Developing Countries.” China Economic Review, 15:109-44.
Subramanian, Arvind, and Shang-jin Wei. 2007. “ The WTO Promotes Trade, Strongly but Unevenly.” Journal of International Economics, 72:151-75.
Tang, Donny. 2005. “Effects of the Regional Trading Arrangements on Trade: Evidence from the NAFTA,ANZCER and ASEAN Countries, 1989-2000.” International Trade & Economic Development, 14(2):241-65.
Tran,Van-Hoa. 2010. “Impact of the WTO Membership, Regional Economic Integration, and Structural Change on China’s Trade and Growth.” Review of Development Economics, 14(3):577-91.
Heng, Toh-Mun, and Vasudevan Gayathri. 2004. “Impact of Regional Trade Liberalization on Emerging Economies: The Case of Vietnam.” ASEAN Economic Bulletin, 21(2):167-82.
Tongzon, Jose L. 2005. “A Bane or Boon for ASEAN Countries.” The World Economy, 28(2):191-210.
Wacziarg, Romain, and Karen H. Welch. 2008. “Trade Liberalization and Growth: New Evidence.” The World Bank Economic Review, 22(2):187-231. |
[Endnote RIS 格式]
[相關文章]
[文章引用]
[完整記錄]
[館藏目錄]
至系統瀏覽論文 ( 永不開放)
plurk
funp
live
udn
HD
myshare
netvibes
friend
youpush
delicious
baidu
Google bookmarks
del.icio.us
hemidemi
facebook
twitter
google
reddit