小型開放經濟、人口內生與經濟成長

以作者查詢圖書館館藏

、以作者查詢臺灣博碩士

、以作者查詢全國書目

、勘誤回報

、線上人數：7

、訪客IP：3.15.221.67

姓名

陳晞倫(Hsi-Lun Chen) 查詢紙本館藏

畢業系所

經濟學系

論文名稱

小型開放經濟、人口內生與經濟成長
(Fiscal Policy and Growth in a Small Open Economy with Endogenous Fertility)

相關論文

★ 雙佔廠商研發決策分析：考慮研發外溢與角解	★ 家戶內共居行為對所得分配之影響
★ 與配偶認識方式之期間分析：台灣與中國之實證研究	★ 工資不均度與流動性之分析:台灣與美國實證結果比較
★ 偏見環境下的婚配市場	★ 影響國中學習表現之因素分析
★ 影響參試者努力程度之理論分析	★ Duopolistic Comparison Sites of Homogeneous Product
★ 教育擴張下年輕依賴人口之計算調整	★ 臺灣1976-2010家戶教育支出的影響因素分析
★ 利益對立與信譽考量：真實狀態不完全揭露下的專家策略	★ 法庭情境下主觀的機率評價: 電腦實驗
★ 考慮角解下的雙占廠商研發決策	★ 多元入學管道與在校成績之關係-以國立中央大學為例
★ 選課行為與學業表現-以國立中央大學為例	★ 手足結構與家庭背景對教育成就的影響：以前兩胎為例

檔案

[Endnote RIS 格式]

[Bibtex 格式]

[相關文章]

[文章引用]

[完整記錄]

[館藏目錄]

[檢視]

[下載]

本電子論文使用權限為同意立即開放。
已達開放權限電子全文僅授權使用者為學術研究之目的，進行個人非營利性質之檢索、閱讀、列印。
請遵守中華民國著作權法之相關規定，切勿任意重製、散佈、改作、轉貼、播送，以免觸法。

摘要(中)

本文依循Palivos(1995)、Yip and Zhang (1996，1997)、Pertucci (2003)以及Barro and Sala-i-Martin (2004)所主張的「除了消費會增加每個個人的效用之外，小孩的數目也會提升其效用」論點，將生育率內生化的設定引進Turnovsky (1996)的開放經濟內生成長模型，檢視內生生育率是否可以解決Turnovsky (1996)消費與資本無法共同成長的問題，進而探討課徵消費稅、所得稅、國外債券利息所得稅對均衡成長率有何不同的影響。
本文研究顯示，生育率內生化的設定可以在小型開放經濟體系中營造出共同成長的結果。消費稅中立性成立，和Batina (1987)有不一樣的結果，雖然皆為生育率內生化的成長模型，但消費稅中立性的破壞會藉由體系的開放而恢復。所得稅對經濟成長率有正向的影響，這和Turnovsky (1999)的所得稅中立性的結果相異，租稅政策對經濟成長率的正向影響是來自於抑制人口成長率的稀釋效果。國外債券利息所得稅對經濟成長有負向的影響，且透過生育行為的決策，此負向影響的效果較Turnovsky (1999)更為擴大。由以上的結果可知，前兩個結論證實了生育率內生化與勞動內生化相似的性質，但後兩個結論卻呈現生育率內生化與勞動內生化不盡相同的特質。顯然，本文的結果可以呼應Pertucci (2003)的論點。

摘要(英)

This analysis extends Palivos(1995)、Yip and Zhang (1996，1997)、Pertucci (2003) and Barro and Sala-i-Martin (2004) to take the role of endogenous fertility into consideration in an endogenous growth model in a small open economy of Turnovsky (1996) and examines the problem of common growth and the effects of increasing the foreign bonds interest tax rate, income tax rate, and consumption tax rate on population growth and economic growth.
The analytic outcomes of this thesis show that the setting of endogenous fertility can create the result of common growth in an endogenous growth model of a small open economy. The consumption neutrality of tax policy is different to Batina (1987). It means that the result of consumption neutrality will recover because of the openness. When the government raises the income tax rate, it will decrease the population rate to bring the positive effect to economic growth which is different to Turnovsky (1999). When the government raises the foreign bonds interest tax rate, it will increase the population rate to expand the negative effect of growth rate which is similar to Turnovsky (1999). The former two conclusions support the similar characteristics between endogenous fertility and endogenous labor. The later two conclusions show that the different characteristics between endogenous fertility and endogenous labor. Obviously, the result of this thesis can support the viewpoint of Pertucci (2003).

關鍵字(中)

★ 人口內生
★ 經濟成長
★ 小型開放經濟

關鍵字(英)

★ economic growth
★ endogenous fertility
★ small open economy

論文目次

第一章緒論 1
第一節研究動機與文獻回顧 1
第二節論文架構 4
第二章理論模型 5
第一節導論 5
第二節模型的建立 5
第三節體系的動態特質 15
第三章內生成長與租稅政策效果 21
第一節長期均衡 21
第二節國外債券利息所得稅 22
第三節所得稅 25
第四節消費稅 27
第四章結論 30
附錄一 32
附錄二 33
附錄三 34
附錄四 35
參考文獻 36

參考文獻

Abel, A. B. and Blanchard, O. J. (1983), “An Intertemporal Model of Saving and Investment,” Econometrica 51, pp. 673-692.
Barro, R. J. and Becker, G. S. (1989), “Fertility Choice in a Model of Economic Growth,”Econometrica 57, pp. 481-501.
Barro, R. J. and Sala-i-Martin, X. (2004), “Economic Growth-2nd ed.,” MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Batina, R. G. (1987), “The Consumption Tax in the Presence of Altruistic Cash and Human Capital Bequests with Endogenous Fertility Decision,” Journal of Public Economics 34, pp. 329-354.
Becker, G. S. (1988), “Family Economics and Macro Behavior,” American Economic Review 78, pp. 1-73.
Becker, G. S., Murphy, K. M. and Tamura, R. (1990), “Human Capital, Fertility, and Economic Growth,”Journal of Political Economy 98, pp. S12-S37.
Blackburn, K. and Cipriani, G. P. (1998), “Endogenous Fertility, Mortality and Growth,” Journal of Population Economics 11, pp. 517-534.
Bovenberg, A. L. and van der Ploeg F. (1998), “Tax Reform, Structure Unemployment and the Environment,”Scandinavian Journal of Economics 100, pp. 593-610.
Buiter, W. H. (1984), “Saddlepoint Problems in Continuous Time Rational Expectations Models: A General Method and Some Macroeconomic Examples,” Econometrica 52, pp. 665-680.
Burmeister, E. (1980), “On Some Conceptual Issues in Rational Expectations Modeling,”Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 12, pp. 800-816.
Faig, M. (1995), “A Simple Economy with Human Capital: Transitional Dynamics, Technology Shocks, and Fiscal Policies,”Journal of Macroeconomics 17, pp. 421-446.
Futagami, K., Morita, Y. and Shibata, A. (1993), “Dynamic Analysis of an Endogenous Growth Model with Public Capital,”Scandinavian Journal of Economics 95, pp. 607-625.
Gould, J. P. (1968), “Adjust Costs in the Theory of Investment of the Firm,”Review Of Economic Studies 35, pp. 47-56.
Hayashi, F. (1982), “Tobin’s Marginal and Average q: A Neoclassical Interpretation,”Econometrica 50, pp. 213-224.
King, R. G. and Rebelo, S. (1990), “Public Policy and Economic Growth: Developing Neoclassical Implications,” The Journal of Political Economy 98, pp. S126-S150.
Lucas, R. E. (1967), “Adjust Costs and the Theory of Supply,”Journal of Political Economy 75, pp. 321-334.
Mark, W. (2001), “Indeterminacy in a Small Open Economy Ramsey Growth Model,”Journal of Economic Theory 98, pp. 339-356.
Mendoza, E. G. and Tesar L. L. (1998), “The International Ramifications of Tax Reforms : Supply-Side Economics in a Global Economy ,”American Economic Review 88, pp. 226-245.
Mino, K. and Shibata, A. (1995), “Monetary Policy, Overlapping Generations, and Patterns of Growth,”Economica 62, pp. 179-197.
Naito, T. (2006), “Tariff and Tax Reform: Dynamic Implication,” Journal of International Economics 68, pp. 504-517.
Palivos, T. (1995), “Endogenous Fertility, Multiple Growth Path, and Economic Convergence,” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 19, pp. 1489-1510.
Palivos, T. and Yip, C. K. (1993), “Optimal Population Size and Endogenous Growth,”Economics Letters 41, pp. 107-110.
Petrucci, A. (2003), “Money, Endogenous Fertility and Economic Growth,”Journal of Macroeconomics 25, pp. 527-539.
Romer, P. M. (1986), “Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth,”Journal of Political Economy 94, pp. 1002-1037.
Sidrauski, M. (1967), “Rational Choice and Patterns of Growth in a Monetary Economy,”American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings 57, pp. 534-544.
Thomas, O. and Alfredo, P. (1997), “Foreign Growth and Domestic Performance in a Small Open Economy,” Journal of International Economics 43, pp. 499-512.
Turnovsky, S. J. (1996), “Fiscal Policy, Growth, and Macroeconomic Performance in a Small Open Economy,”Journal of International Economics 40, pp. 41-66.
Turnovsky, S. J. (1997), “Equilibrium Growth in a Small Economy Facing an Imperfect World Capital Market,”Review of Development Economics 1, pp. 1-22.
Turnovsky, S. J. (1999), “Fiscal Policy and Growth in a Small Economy with Elastic Labour Supply,”Canadian Journal of Economics 32, pp. 1191-1214.
Turnovsky, S. J. (2002), “Knife-Edge Conditions and the Macrodynamics of Small Open Economies,”Macroeconomic Dynamics 6, pp. 307-335.
Wang, P., Yip, C. K. and Scotese, C. A. (1994), “Fertility Choice and Economic Growth: Theory and Evidence,”The Review of Economics and Statistics 76, pp. 255-266.
Yip, C. K. and Zhang, J. (1996), “Population Growth and Economic Growth: A Reconsideration,”Economics Letters 52, pp. 319-324.
Yip, C. K. and Zhang, J. (1997), “A Simple Endogenous
Growth Model with Endogenous Fertility: Indeterminacy and Uniqueness,”Journal of Population Economics 10, pp. 97-110

指導教授

鄭保志、張文雅
(Pao-chih Cheng、Wen-ya Chang)

審核日期

2008-7-22

推文