參考文獻 |
References
Akaike, H., 1973, Information Theory and an Extension of the Maximum Likelihood Principle, In B.N. Petrov and F. Csaki (eds.), 2nd International Symposium on Information Theory, 267-281. Akademia Kiado, Budapest.
American Housing Survey for the United States, 2005, Current Housing Reports. U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and U.S. Census Bureau. August, p. 156.
Amin, K. I. and R. A. Jarrow, 1992, Pricing Options on Risky Assets in a Stochastic Interest Rate Economy, Mathematical Finance, 4: 217-237.
Antolin, P., 2007, Longevity Risk and Private Pensions, OECD Working Papers on Insurance and Private Pensions, No. 3.
Bauer, D., and F. Weber, 2007, Assessing Investment and Longevity Risks within Immediate Annuities, Working Paper.
Box, G. E. P., and G. M. Jenkins, 1976, Time Series Analysis Forecasting and Control, 2nd Ed. (San Francisco: Holden-Day).
Bühlmann, H., F. Delbaen, P. Embrechts, and A. N. Shiryaev, 1996, No-Arbitrage, Change of Measure and Conditional Esscher Transforms, CWI Quarterly, 9: 291-317.
Cairns, A. J. G., D. Blake, and K. Dowd, 2006, A Two-Factor Model for Stochastic Mortality with Parameter Uncertainty: Theory and Calibration, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 73: 687-718.
Chan, W. H., and J. M. Maheu, 2002, Conditional Jump Dynamics in Stock Market Returns, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20: 377-389.
Chang, C. C., 2001, Efficient Procedures for the Valuation and Hedging of American Currency Options with Stochastic Interest Rates, Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 11: 241-268.
Chen H., S. H. Cox, and S. S. Wang, 2010a, Is the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage in the United States Sustainable? Evidence from Pricing Mortgage Insurance Premiums and Non-Recourse Provisions Using the Conditional Esscher Transform, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 46: 371-384.
Chen, M. C., C. C. Chang, S. K. Lin, and S. D. Shyu, 2010b, Estimation of Housing Price Jump Risks and Their Impact on the Valuation of Mortgage Insurance Contracts, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 77: 399-422.
Chernov M., A. R. Gallant, E. Ghysels, and G. Tauchen, 1999, A New Class of Stochastic Volatility Models with Jumps: Theory and Estimation, Working Paper, CIRANO.
Cox, J. C., J. E. Ingersoll, S. A. Ross, 1985, A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates, Econometrica, 53: 385-407.
Deloitte, 2002, Report on Wealth and Portfolio Choice Model, Deloitte LLP, Epsom.
Duan, J. C., 1995, The GARCH Option Pricing Model, Mathematical Finance, 5: 13-32.
Duan, J. C., P. Ritchken, and Z. Sun, 2006, Approximating GARCH-Jump Models, Jump-Diffusion Processes, and Option Pricing, Mathematical Finance, 16: 21-52.
Esscher, F., 1932, On the Probability Function in the Collective Theory of Risk, Skandinavisk Aktuarietidskrift, 15: 175-195.
Gerber, H. U., and E. S. W. Shiu, 1994, Option Pricing by Esscher Transforms, Transactions of the Society of Actuaries, 46: 99-191.
Ho, T. S., R. C., Stapleton and M. G. Subrahmanyam, 1997, The Valuation of American Option with Stochastic Interest Rates: A Generalization of the Geske-Johnson Technique, Journal of Finance, 52:827-840.
Institute of Actuaries, 2005, Equity Release Report 2005, Volume I: Main Report, http://www.actuaries.org.uk/files/pdf/equity release/equity releaserepjan05V1.pdf.
Jorion, P., 1988, On Jump Processes in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets, Review of Financial Studies, 1: 427-445.
Kijima, M. and Wong, T., 2007, Pricing of Ratchet Equity-Indexed Annuities Under Stochastic Interest Rates, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 41, 317-338.
Kou, S. G., 2002, A Jump-Diffusion Model for Option Pricing. Management Science, 48: 1086-1101.
Lee, Y. T., C. W. Wang, and H. C. Huang, 2012, On the Valuation of Reverse Mortgages with Regular Tenure Payments, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 51: 430-441.
Li, J. S. H., M. R. Hardy, and K. S. Tan, 2010, On Pricing and Hedging the No-Negative-Equity Guarantee in Equity Release Mechanisms, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 77: 449-522.
Lin, X.S. and Tan, K.S.,2003, Valuation of Equity-Indexed Annuities Under Stochastic Interest Rates, North American Actuarial Journal 7, 72-91.
Ma, S., G. Kim, and K. Lew, 2007, Estimating Reverse Mortgage Insurer’s Risk Using Stochastic Models, Paper Presented at the Asia Pacific Risk and Insurance Association, 2007 Annual Meeting.
Merton, R. C., 1973, Theory of Rational Option Price, The Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science, 4: 141-183.
Merton, R. C., 1976, Option Pricing When Underlying Stock Returns Are Discontinuous, Journal of Financial Economics, 3: 125-144.
National Reverse Mortgage Lenders Association, 2007, Statistics.
Nelson, D. B., 1991, Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach, Econometrica, 59: 347-370.
Rabinovitch, R., 1989, Pricing Stock and Bond Options When the Default-Free Rate is Stochastic, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 24: 447-457.
Safe Home Income Plans, 2008, SHIP Full Year Results 2007, http://www.ship-ltd.org/bm doc/04-jan-08-02.pdf.
Siu, T. K., H. Tong, and H. Yang, 2004, On Pricing Derivatives Under GARCH Models: A Dynamic Gerber-Shiu Approach, North American Actuarial Journal, 8: 17-31.
Shreve, S. E., 2004, Stochastic Calculus for Finance II Continuous-Time Models, Springer.
Svoboda, S., 2004, Interest Rate Modelling. Palgrave Macmillan, New York.
Szymanoski, E. J., 1994, Risk and the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage, Journal of the American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, 22: 347-366.
Turnbull, S. M. and F. Milne, 1991, A Simple Approach to Interest Rate Option Pricing, Review of Financial Studies, 4: 87-120.
Tuljapurkar, S., L. Nan and C. Boe, 2000, A Universal Pattern of Mortality Decline in the G7 Countries, Nature 405, 789-792.
Wang, L., E. A. Valdez and J. Piggott, 2007, Securitization of Longevity Risk in Reverse Mortgages, Working paper.
Vasicek, O., 1977, An Equilibrium Characterization of the Term Structure, Journal of Financial Economics 5, 177-188.
Wang, Jennifer L., H. C. Huang, S. S. Yang and J. T. Tsai 2010, An Optimal Product Mix for Hedging Longevity Risk in Life Insurance Companies: The Immunization Theory Approach, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 77: 473-497.
West, K. D., and D. Cho, 1995, The Predictive Ability of Several Models of Exchange Rate Volatility, Journal of Econometrics, 69: 367-391.
Reference
Akaike, H., 1973, Information Theory and an Extension of the Maximum Likelihood Principle, 2nd Edition, 267-281.
Alaton, P., B. Djehiche and D. Dtillberger, 2002, On Modelling and Pricing Weather Derivatives, Applied Mathematical Finance, 9, 1-20.
Baillie, R. T., 1996, Long Memory Process and Fractional Integration in Econometrics, Journal of Econometrics, 73, 5-59.
Benth, F. E., 2003, On Arbitrage-Free Pricing of Weather Derivatives Based on Fractional Brownian Motion, Applied Mathematical Finance, 10, 303-324.
Brockett, P. L., L. L. Golden, M. M. Wen and C. C. Yang, 2009, Pricing Weather Derivatives Using the Indifference Pricing Approach, 13, 303-315.
Brockett, P. L., M. Wang and C. Yang, 2005, Weather Derivatives and Weather Risk Management, Risk Management and Insurance Review, 8, 127-140.
Brody, D. C. J. Syroka and M. Zervos, 2002, Dynamical Pricing of Weather Derivatives, Quantitative Finance, 2, 189-198.
Caballero, R., S. Jewson and M. Zervos, 2002, Long Memory in Surface Air Temperature: Detection, Modelling and Application to Weather Derivative Valuation, Climate Research, 21, 127-140.
Campbell, S. D. and F. X. Diebold, 2005, Weather Forecasting for Weather Derivatives, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 100, 6-16.
Cao, M. and J. Wei, 2004, Weather Derivatives Valuation and Market Price of Weather Risk, Journal of Futures Markets, 24, 1065-1089.
Dickey, D. and W. A. Fuller, 1981, Likelihood Ratio Statistic for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root, Econometrica, 49, 1057-1072.
Geweke, J. and S. Porter-Hudak, 1983, The Estimation and Application of Long Memory Time Series Models, Journal of Time Series Analysis, 4, 221-238.
Granger, C. W. J. and R. Joyeux, 1980, An Introduction to Long-Memory Series Models and Fractional Differencing, Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1, 15-30.
Hosking, J. R. M., 1981, Fractional Differencing, Biometrika, 68, 165-176.
Huang, H. H., Y. M. Shiu and P. S. Lin, 2008, HDD and CDD Option Pricing with Market Price of Weather Risk for Taiwan, The Journal of Futures Markets, 28, 790-814.
Hurst, H., 1951, Long Term Storage Capacity of Reservoirs, Transactions of the American Society of Civil Engineers, 116, 770-799.
Lo, A. W., 1991, Long-Term Memory in Stock Market Prices, Econometrica, 59, 1279-1313.
Lucas, R. E., 1978, Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy, Econometrica, 46, 1429-1445.
Marsh, T. A. and R. Merton, 1987, Dividend Behavior for the Aggregate Stock Market, Journal of Business, 60, 1-40.
Neese, J. M., 1994, Systematic Biases in Manual Observations of Maximum and Minimum Temperature, Journal of Climate, 7, 834-842.
Phillips, P. and P. Perron, 1988, Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression, Biometrica, 75, 335-346.
Syroka, J. and R. Toumi, 2001, Scaling and Persistence in Observed and Modelled Surface Temperature, Geophysical Research Letter, 28, 3255-3258.
Tsonis, A. A., P. J. Roebber and J. B. Elsner, 1999, Long-Range Correlations in the Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation: Origins and Implications, Journal of Climate, 12, 1534-1541
Zapranis, A. and A. Alexandridis, 2009, Weather Derivatives Pricing: Modeling the Seasonal Residual Variance of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Temperature Process with Neural Networks. |