博碩士論文 966204007 詳細資訊




以作者查詢圖書館館藏 以作者查詢臺灣博碩士 以作者查詢全國書目 勘誤回報 、線上人數:21 、訪客IP:3.128.94.171
姓名 林建文(Chien-Wen Lin)  查詢紙本館藏   畢業系所 應用地質研究所
論文名稱 濁水溪沖積扇地下水硝酸鹽氮污染潛勢評估與預測模式建立
(Assessment and prediction of contamination potential of nitrate-N in the aquifer of the Choushui River Alluvial Fan)
相關論文
★ 單井垂直循環流場追蹤劑試驗數學模式發展★ 斷層對抽水試驗洩降反應之影響
★ 漸近型式尺度延散度之一維移流-延散方程式之Laplace轉換級數解★ 延散效應對水岩交互作用反應波前的影響
★ 異向垂直循環流場溶質傳輸分析★ 溶解反應對碳酸岩孔隙率與水力傳導係數之影響
★ 異向含水層部分貫穿井溶質傳輸分析★ 溶解與沈澱反應對碳酸鈣礦石填充床孔隙率與水力傳導係數變化之影響
★ 有限長度圓形土柱實驗二維溶質傳輸之解析解★ 第三類注入邊界條件二維圓柱座標移流-延散方程式解析解發展
★ 側向延散對雙井循環流場追蹤劑試驗溶質傳輸的影響★ 關渡平原地下水流動模擬
★ 應用類神經網路模式推估二維徑向收斂流場追蹤劑試驗縱向及側向延散度★ 關渡濕地沉積物中砷之地化循環與分布
★ 結合水質變異與水流模擬模式評估屏東平原地下水適合飲用之區域★ 推估土壤傳輸參數現地試驗方法改進與數學模式發展
檔案 [Endnote RIS 格式]    [Bibtex 格式]    [相關文章]   [文章引用]   [完整記錄]   [館藏目錄]   [檢視]  [下載]
  1. 本電子論文使用權限為同意立即開放。
  2. 已達開放權限電子全文僅授權使用者為學術研究之目的,進行個人非營利性質之檢索、閱讀、列印。
  3. 請遵守中華民國著作權法之相關規定,切勿任意重製、散佈、改作、轉貼、播送,以免觸法。

摘要(中) 近年來台灣地下水質監測資料顯示,濁水溪沖積扇地區有嚴重的硝酸鹽氮污染問題,相關污染主要來自於農業區大規模的肥料,經地表補注水進入地下含水層。本研究藉由DRASTIC模式及GIS建立濁水溪沖積扇的污染潛勢分佈圖,透過判別分析修正DRASTIC模式中參數的原始權重,期藉此達到更佳的預測準確率。本研究結果顯示,飽和含水層及通氣層介質兩項參數因子具顯著正向貢獻,而水位深度的影響則歸類為負貢獻較顯著的因子。修正後的預測模式已將總判釋準確率,由原始模式的68%提高至修正後的86%,相關指標值也由原本的0.1達到0.3以上,ROC的A值更都有0.9以上的優異預測能力,結果皆顯示修正後的權重預測正確性提升顯著,並依據污染門檻值劃定了高風險污染區,同時針對研究區域重新繪製了污染潛勢分佈圖。研究結果能提供政府決策者及民眾更明確的高風險污染分佈範圍,相信在規劃綜合水資源應用計畫上能有更進ㄧ步幫助。
摘要(英) Monitoring data of groundwater quality reveals that many aquifers in natural recharging zones of Taiwan present serious nitrate-N pollution due to agricultural activities. This study uses DRASTIC model and GIS to assess the contamination potential of nitrate-N in the Choushui River alluvial fan. Additionally, this study also develops a predicted model which adopts discriminant analysis to modify DRASTIC model. The model can substantially improve the prediction and revise some drawbacks in the original DRASTIC model used to predict. The study results reveal that the model presents a higher correct ratio of prediction than DRASTIC model, by 68% to 86%. Thus, this model is suggested to map potential pollution areas using GIS and to delineate high-risk contaminated areas. The results of sensitivity analysis show that the aquifer media and impact of vadose zone are significantly positively related to nitrate-N pollution, but the depth to water is negatively associated with nitrate-N pollution. The analyzed findings can provide residents with suggestive strategies against nitrate-N pollution in agricultural regions and government administrators with explicit information of Nitrate-N pollution extents when plans of water resources are considered.
關鍵字(中) ★ 硝酸鹽氮
★ 不確定性
★ DRASTIC
★ GIS
★ 判別分析
★ 污染潛勢
關鍵字(英) ★ Uncertainty
★ Groundwater
★  DRASTIC
★  nitrate-N
★  Contamination P
論文目次 中文摘要 -i-
英文摘要 -ii-
誌 謝 -iii-
目 錄 -iv-
表 目 錄 -vi-
圖 目 錄 -vii-
第一章、緒 論 -1-
1-1 緣 起 -1-
1-2 文獻回顧 -2-
1-2-1 DRASTIC模式 -2-
1-2-2 真實污染與潛勢污染的比較 -5-
1-2-3 GIS於污染潛勢的應用 -6-
1-3 研究目的 -7-
1-4 論文架構 -7-
第二章、研究區域 -9-
2-1 地理位置與水文地質 -9-
2-2 地下分層與地層概述 -10-
2-3 地下水硝酸鹽氮污染概況 -12-
第三章、研究方法 -16-
3-1 DRASTIC模式 -16-
3-2 多變量方法 -22-
3-2-1 判別分析(Discriminant Analysis) -22-
3-3 判釋結果評估方法 -24-
3-3-1 ANOVA檢定 -24-
3-3-2 盒狀圖(BOXPLOT) -25-
3-3-3 迴歸分析圖(Simple Regression) -25-
3-3-4 分類矩陣(Classification Error Matrix) -25-
3-3-5 ROC曲線 -26-
3-3-6 Cutting value指標 -27-
第四章、結果與討論 -28-
4-1 各參數等級分佈圖 -28-
4-1-1 地下水位深度(D) -28-
4-1-2 淨補注量(R) -30-
4-1-3 含水層介質(A) -32-
4-1-4 土壤介質(S) -34-
4-1-5 地形(T) -37-
4-1-6 通氣層介質(I) -39-
4-1-7 水力傳導係數(C) -41-
4-2 濃度分群比較 -43-
4-3 判別分析結果比較 -56-
4-4 參數敏感度分析 -69-
4-5 污染預測結果研判 -73-
4-6 高風險區域劃定 -78-
第五章、結論與建議 -83-
5-1 結 論 -83-
5-2 建 議 -84-
參考文獻 -85-
附錄一 -91-
參考文獻 [1] U S EPA (Environmental Protection Agency), DRASTIC:
a Standard System for Evaluating Groundwater Potential
Using Hydrogeological Settings, Ada, Oklahoma WA/EPA
Series 163, 1985
[2] 臺灣糖業股份有限公司, 台灣地區地下水觀測網水質常態監測與調查分析
(2/2), 經濟部水利署, 2005
[3] Chen, W.F., Liu, T.K., “Dissolved oxygen and nitrate of
groundwater in Choushui Fan-Delta, western Taiwan”,
Environmental Geology, 44(6), pp. 731-737, 2003
[4] Yang, C.Y., Cheng, M.F., Tsai, S.S., Hsieh, Y.L.,
“Calcium, magnesium, and nitrate in drinking water and
gastric cancer mortality”, Cancer Science, 89, pp. 124-
130, 1998
[5] Knobeloch, L., Salna, B., Hogan, A., Postle, J.,
Anderson, H., “Blue babies and nitrate-contaminated well
water”, Environmental Health Perspectives, 108(7), pp.
675-678, 2000
[6] Babiker, I.S., Mohamed, A.A.M., Terao, H., Kato, K., “A
GIS-based DRASTIC model for assessing aquifer
vulnerability in Kakamigahara Heights, Gifu Prefecture,
central Japan”, Science of the Total Environment, 345(1-
3), pp.127-140, 20050
[7] Panagopoulos, G. P., Antonakos, A. K. and Lambrakis, N.
J., “Optimization of the DRASTIC method for groundwater
vulnerability assessment via the use of simple
statistical methods and GIS”, Journal of Hydrogeology,
14(6), pp. 894-911, 2006
[8] Antonakos, A.K., Lambrakis, N.J., “Development and
testing of three hybrid methods for the assessment of
aquifer vulnerability to nitrates, based on the drastic
model, an example from NE Korinthia, Greece”, Journal of
Hydrology, 333, pp. 288-304, 2007
[9] Vrba, J., Zoporozec, A., “Guidebook on mapping
groundwater vulnerability”, International Contribution
for Hydrogeology, vol. 16. Hannover7 Heise. pp. 131,
1994
[10]Aller, L., Bennett, T., Lehr, J.H., Petty, R.J.,
Hackett, G., DRASTIC: a Standardized System for
Evaluating Ground Water Pollution Potential using
Hydrogeologic Settings, Washington(USA), 1987
[11]Durnford, D.S., Thompson, K.R., Ellerbrook, D.A.,
Loftis, J.C., Davies, G.S., Screening Methods for Ground
Water Pollution Potential from Pesticide use in Colorado
Agriculture, Completion Report Colorado Water Resources
Research Institute, Colorado(USA), 1990
[12]Evans, B.M., Myers, W.L., “A CIS-based approach to
evaluating regional groundwater pollution potential with
DRASTIC”, Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, March-
April, pp. 242-245, 1990
[13]Halliday, S.L., Wolfe, M.L., “Assessing ground water
pollution potential from nitrogen fertilizer using a
geographic information system”, Water Resources
Bulletin, 27, pp. 237-245, 1991
[14]Rundquist, D.C., Peters, A.J., Di, L., Rodekohr, D.A.,
Ehrman, R.L., Murray, G., “Statewide groundwater-
vulnerability assessment in Nebraska using the DRASTIC/
GIS model”, Geocarto International, 6(2), pp. 51-57,
1991
[15]Fritch, T.G., McKnight, C.L., Yelderman, J.C., Arnold,
J.G., “An aquifer vulnerability assessment of the Paluxy
aquifer, Central Texas, USA, using GIS and a modified
DRASTIC approach”, Environmental Management, 25, pp.
337-345, 2000
[16]Shukla, S., Mostaghimi, S., Shanholt, V.O., Collins,
M.C., Ross, B.B., “A county-level assessment of ground
water contamination by pesticides”, Ground Water
Monitoring & Remediation, 20(1), pp. 104-119, 2000
[17]Lobo-Ferreira, J.P., Oliveira, M.M., 「DRASTIC ground
water vulnerability mapping of Portugal」, In:
Proceedings from the 27th Congress of the International
Association for Hydraulic Research, pp. 132-137. 1997
[18]Lynch, S.D., Reynders, A.G., Schulze, R.E., “A DRASTIC
approach to ground water vulnerability in South Africa”,
South African Journal of Science, 93(2), pp. 59-60, 1997
[19]Melloul, M., Collin, M., “A proposed index for aquifer
waterquality assessment: the case of Israel’s Sharon
region”, Journal of Environmental Management, 54(2), pp.
131-142, 1998
[20]Johansson, P.O., Scharp, C., Alveteg, T., Choza, A.,
“Framework for ground-water protection-the Managua
Ground Water System as an example”, Ground Water, 37(2),
pp. 204-213. 1999
[21]Kim, Y.J., Hamm, S., “Assessment of the potential for
ground water contamination using the DRASTIC/ EGIS
technique, Cheongju area, South Korea”, Hydrogeology
journal, 7(2), pp. 227-235, 1999
[22]Zabet, T.A., “Evaluation of aquifer vulnerability to
contamination potential using the DRASTIC method”,
Environmental Geology, 43, pp. 203-208, 2002
[23]臺灣省政府環保處, 臺灣省地下水水質監測站網整體規劃第一階段報告(本文
一), 1994
[24]臺灣省政府環保處, 臺灣省地下水水質監測站網整體規劃工作成果報告(本
文), 1995
[25]臺灣省政府環保處, 臺灣省地下水水質監測站網整體規劃第二階段工作成果報
告(附錄一), 1995
[26]張良正, 臺灣地區地下水觀測網水質調查分析及指標井選定研究計畫, 經濟部
水資源局, 1999
[27]洪瑛鈞, 金門地區地下水污染潛勢分析, 國立交通大學土木工程系, 碩士論
文, 2002
[28]甘東富, 整合DRASTIC 模式及區域性地下水水質監測井網監測頻率之初步研
究, 國立屏東科技大學土木工程系, 碩士論文, 2002
[29]劉振宇, 金門地區進行地下水水質、水量之監測與安全出水量計算及污染潛勢
評估計畫, 經濟部水資源局, 2004
[30]吳銘志, 臺灣地區地下水文圖圖集繪製工作(2/4)期末報告, 經濟部水利署,
2004
[31]黃緒瑩,高雄平原地區地下水污染潛勢之研究, 國立成功大學地球科學研究所,
碩士論文, 2006
[32]Garrett, P., Williams, J.S., Rossoll, C.F., Tolman,
A.L., “Are ground water vulnerability classification
systems workable”, National Water Well Association, pp.
329-343, 1989
[33]Merchant, J., GIS-Based Groundwater Pollution Hazard
Assessment: a Critical Review of the DRASTIC Model,
Photogrammetric engineering and remote sensing(USA),
60(9), pp. 1117-1127, 1994
[34]Rosen, L., “A study of the DRASTIC methodology with
emphasis on Swedish conditions”, Ground Water, 32, pp.
278-285, 1994
[35]Kalinski, R.J., Kelly, W.E., Bogardi, I., Ehrman, R.L.,
Yamamoto, P.O., “Correlation between DRASTIC
vulnerabilities and incidents of VOC contamination of
municipal wells in Nebraska”, Ground Water, 32(1), pp.
31-34, 1994
[36]McLay, C.D.A., Dragden, R., Sparling, G., Selvarajah,
N., “Predicting groundwater nitrate concentrations in a
region of mixed agricultural land use: a comparison of
three approaches”, Environmental Pollution, 115, pp.
191-204, 2001
[37]Rupert, M.G., Improvements to the DRASTIC Groundwater
Vulnerability Mapping Method, U.S. Geological Survey
Fact Sheet FS-066-99, Reston(USA), 1999
[38]Secunda, S., Collin, M.L., Melloul, A.J., “Groundwater
vulnerability assessment using a composite model
combining DRASTIC with extensive agricultural land use
in Israel’s Sharon region”, Journal of Environmental
Management, 54, pp. 39-57, 1998
[39]Foster, S.S.D., “Fundamental concepts in aquifer
vulnerability, pollution risk and protection strategy”,
Hydrological Research, 38, pp.69-86, 1987
[40]Thapinta, A. ,Hudak, P. F., “Use of geographic
information systems for assessing groundwater pollution
potential by pesticides in Central Thailand”,
Environment International, 29, pp. 87-93, 2003
[41]Zektser, I. S., “Groundwater and the Environment-
Application for the Global Community”, Lewis Publishers,
pp.103-114, 2000
[42]經濟部中央地質調查所, 台灣地區地下水觀測網第一期計畫濁水溪沖積扇水文
地質調查研究總報告, 1999
[43]臺灣糖業股份有限公司, 台灣地區地下水觀測網水質監測調查分析(1/5),經
濟部水資源局, 1999
[44]臺灣糖業股份有限公司, 台灣地區地下水觀測網水質監測調查分析(2/5),
經濟部水資源局, 2000
[45]臺灣糖業股份有限公司, 台灣地區地下水觀測網水質監測調查分析(3/5),
經濟部水資源局, 2001
[46]臺灣糖業股份有限公司, 台灣地區地下水觀測網水質監測調查分析(4/5),
經濟部水資源局, 2002
[47]臺灣糖業股份有限公司, 台灣地區地下水觀測網水質監測調查分析(5/5),
經濟部水資源局, 2003
[48]臺灣糖業股份有限公司, 台灣地區地下水觀測網水質常態監測與調查分析
(1/2), 經濟部水利署, 2004
[49]Hess, K.M., Wolf, S.H., Celia, M.A., “Large-scale
natural gradient tracer test in sand and gravel, Cape
Cod, Massachusetts 3. Hydraulic conductivity variability
and calculated macrodispersivites”, Water Resources
Research, 28(8), pp. 2011-2027, 1992
[50]Jang, C.S., Liu, C.W., 「Potential of Nitrogen Compound
Pollution in the Heterogeneous Aquifers of the Choushui
River Alluvial Fan, Taiwan」, National Taiwan
University, PhD Dissertations, 2003
[51]NRC (National Research Council), Ground Water
Vulnerability Assessment: Predictive Relative
Contamination Potential Under Conditions of Uncertainty,
National Academy Press, Washington, pp. 42-63, 1993
[52]Barbash, J.E.; Resek, E.A., Pesticides in Ground water:
Distribution, Trends, and Governing Factors, Ann Arbor
Press, Michigan (USA), 1996
[53]Hair, J. F., Anderson, R. E., Tatham, R. L. et al.,
Multivariate Data Analysis : with Readings, 5th
edition., Prentice-Hall, USA, 1995
[54]陳順宇, 多變量分析, 三版, 華泰書局, 台北, 2004
[55]Sharma, S., Applied Multivariate Techniques, Wiley, New
York, 1996
[56]Wiggine, B.A., Andrew, R.W., Conway, R.A., Corr, C.L.,
Dobratz, E.J., Dougherty, D.P., Eppard, J.R., Knupp,
S.R., Limjoco, M.C., Mettenburg, J.M., Rinehardt, J.M.,
Sonsino, J., Torrijos, R.L., Zimmerman, M.E., “Use of
antibiotic resistance analysis to identify nonpoint
sources of fecal pollution”, Applied Environmental
Microbiology, 65, pp. 3483-3486, 1999
[57]Alberto, W.D., Pilar, D.M., Valeria, A.M., Fabiana,
P.S., Cecilia, H.A., Los Angeles, B.M., “Pattern
recognition techniques for the evaluation of spatial and
temporal variations in water quality. A case study:
Suquia riverbasin (C’ordoba, Argentina)”, Water
Research, 35(12), pp. 2881–2894, 2001
[58]SPSS Inc., SPSS 1997 Statistic Modeling for Windows
95/98/NT, 1998
[59]Davis, J.C., Statistics and Data Analysis in Geology,
3rd edition, Wiley, New York(USA), 2002
[60]Swets, J.A., “Measuring the Accuracy of Diagonstic
Systems”, Science, Vol 204, No. 4857, pp. 1285-1293,
1988
[61]經濟部水利署-水文水資源資料管理供應系統網站,
http://gweb.wra.gov.tw/wrweb/
[62]交通部中央氣象局網站, http://www.cwb.gov.tw/V6/index.htm
[63]經濟部中央地質調查所網站, http://hydro.moeacgs.gov.tw/
[64]經濟部水資源局, 台灣地區地下水觀測網整體計畫第一期(81-87年度)成果
彙編, 經濟部水資源局, 1999
指導教授 張誠信、陳瑞昇
(Cheng-Shin Jang、Jui-Sheng Chen)
審核日期 2009-7-22
推文 facebook   plurk   twitter   funp   google   live   udn   HD   myshare   reddit   netvibes   friend   youpush   delicious   baidu   
網路書籤 Google bookmarks   del.icio.us   hemidemi   myshare   

若有論文相關問題,請聯絡國立中央大學圖書館推廣服務組 TEL:(03)422-7151轉57407,或E-mail聯絡  - 隱私權政策聲明