博碩士論文 973202021 詳細資訊

姓名 曾思敏(Ssu-Min Tseng)  查詢紙本館藏   畢業系所 土木工程學系
論文名稱 關鍵基礎設施相依性模型設計與應用
(Data Collection and Analysis of Critical Infrastructure Interdependency Relationships)
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摘要(中) 關鍵基礎設施為國家重要的資產,用以連續地產生或輸送重要貨物或服務,例如交通設施、電力設施等。大部分關鍵基礎設施彼此是相依的,關鍵基礎設施的某元件,與關鍵基礎設施的某元件之間,可能有某種相依性,當其中之一發生損害,另一個可能造成破壞或是產生連鎖效應等。如供水系統需靠電力設施運作,當電力設施損毀時供水也將受影響,此互動關係將建立跨越系統的複雜性。研究顯示完整與正確的關鍵基礎設施與其相依性資料對於建立災害管理系統來說非常重要。要改善目前的救災策略成效,關鍵基礎設施相依性資料是必要的。
摘要(英) Critical infrastructures are important national assets for producing or distributing continuous flows of essential goods or services. When one critical infrastructure shuts down due to an external disruption, it can be expected that other critical infrastructures that need goods or services provided by the discontinued one will stop shortly, exacerbating the damage caused by the external disruption. Past research has categorized critical infrastructure interdependency (CII) into four relationship types and has proposed several methods to model CII and its effects. This paper presents a knowledge discovery process for CII that can be used to extract frequent patterns of critical infrastructure failure records directly or indirectly triggered by external disruptions. The knowledge discovery process, including integration of critical infrastructure failure records and transformation into the data format needed by the data mining algorithm, is described. Discussion of a disaster mitigation approach to stopping CII-related possible future failure events is addressed, followed by the analysis results of sample critical infrastructure failure records. Disaster mitigation officials can employ the proposed approach to explore CII and to design countermeasures when a disaster hits certain areas.
關鍵字(中) ★ GSP
★ 關鍵基礎設施
★ 資料探勘
關鍵字(英) ★ Data mining
★ Critical infrastructure interdependency
★ Generalized sequential patterns discovery
論文目次 目錄
第一章 緒論 1
1.1 研究背景與動機 1
1.2 研究目的 2
1.3 研究範圍 2
1.4 論文架構 3
1.4.1 研究背景與動機 4
1.4.2 文獻回顧 4
1.4.3 研究分析 4
1.4.4實際資料測試 5
1.4.5結論與建議 5
第二章 文獻回顧 6
2.1 關鍵基礎設施類型 6
2.1.1 基礎設施分佈 7
2.1.2 台灣南部各項基礎設施介紹 8
2.2 救災流程圖 9
2.3 關鍵基礎設施相依性 11
2.4 目前所運用的技術 17
2.4.1 Mendonca and Wallaced的作法:以美國911事件為例 18
2.4.2 關聯資料探勘技術 20
2.4.3 GSP 23
第三章 關鍵基礎設施相依性的知識處理流程 25
3.1 關鍵基礎設施模型建立 25
3.2 資料蒐集與整理 29
3.2.1 電力服務終止紀錄資料 30
3.2.2 供水服務終止紀錄資料 30
3.2.3 中華電信服務終止紀錄 31
3.2.4 人事行政局資料 31
3.3 資料格式整合 32
3.3 連鎖關係發現 35
3.4 資料後處理 37
第四章 關鍵基礎設施災難減緩的策略 40
4.1 搜尋常見關鍵基礎設施與重視的關鍵基礎設施損害相關序列 40
4.2 重視的關鍵基礎設施保護對策 41
4.3 範列 41
4.3.1 資料整合 42
第五章 結論與建議 49
參考文獻 50
參考文獻 陳仲緯,「關鍵資訊基礎建設保護措施效能評估模型建立及應用」,元智大學資訊工程
系碩士論文,2006 年 7 月
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指導教授 周建成(Chien-Cheng Chou) 審核日期 2009-7-27
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