博碩士論文 994209001 詳細資訊




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姓名 陳皓華(Haw-Hwa Chen)  查詢紙本館藏   畢業系所 經濟學系
論文名稱 台灣大小公司報酬與流動性之實證研究
(The Empirical Research of Return and Liquidity between Large and Small Firms in Taiwan)
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摘要(中) 本研究主要在檢驗變數間訊息傳遞狀況和交錯自我相關的情形,
我們建立一個簡單的模型去檢視大小公司間股票變數領先-落後的關係。
使用Amihud的非流動性指標做為衡量流動性的工具。
實證結果指出,
在相關係數檢定下,
大小公司同變數間同期相關性很高;
在Granger因果關係的檢定下,
大公司股票的訊息變數對小公司股票的訊息變數有很強的領先效果。
此外,
我們也使用了VAR模型及衝擊反應分析來檢驗估計結果是否一致,
並且加入外生變數的影響去判斷此衝擊對系統間的影響。
而更進一步發現,
大公司股票的流動性扮演一個加強變數間交錯自我相關的角色。
摘要(英) This paper examines the relation between information transmission and cross-autocorrelations.
We present a simple model, where informed trading is transmitted from large to small stocks with a lag.
We use Amihud’’s illiquidity indicator as a tool to measure liquidity here.
In results, large stock illiquidity induced by informed trading portends stronger cross-autocorrelations.
Empirically, we find that the lead-lag relation increases with lagged large stock illiquidity.
Further, We can understand that large stock liquidity play an important role in cross-autocorrelations.
關鍵字(中) ★ 流動性
★ 交錯自我相關
★ Granger因果關係
關鍵字(英) ★ Liquidity
★ Cross-autocorrelations
★ Granger causality
論文目次 1 緒論 1
1.1 研究背景與動機動 1
1.2 研究目的與對象 2
1.3 論文架構 2
2 文獻回顧 4
2.1 大小公司的資訊角色 4
2.2 流動性的資訊角色 4
2.3 領先落後與因果關係 5
3 理論模型與研究方法 7
3.1 樣本及使用資料說明 7
3.2 單根檢定 8
3.2.1 Dickey-Fuller (DF)單根檢定 9
3.2.2 Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF)單根檢定 9
3.3 模型最適落後期數選定 10
3.4 向量自我迴歸模型 11
3.5 Granger因果關係檢定 13
3.6 衝擊反應分析 15
4 實證結果 17
4.1 敘述統計 17
4.2 相關係數矩陣 17
4.3 Granger因果關係檢定 18
4.4 VAR估計結果 20
4.5 衝擊反應分析 21
4.6 VAR估計結果-加入外生變數 22
5 結論與建議 24
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指導教授 徐之強(Chih-Chiang Hsu) 審核日期 2012-6-26
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