利用LURR方法探討臺灣1994年後大地震之前兆現象

以作者查詢圖書館館藏

、以作者查詢臺灣博碩士

、以作者查詢全國書目

、勘誤回報

、線上人數：107

、訪客IP：13.59.218.147

姓名

邵宜蓮(Yi-lien Shao) 查詢紙本館藏

畢業系所

地球物理研究所

論文名稱

利用LURR方法探討臺灣1994年後大地震之前兆現象
(Application of LURR for Precursory Phenomenon of Taiwanese Large Earthquakes since 1994)

相關論文

★ 利用RTL (Region-Time-Length) 演算法探討921 集集大地震之前兆現象	★ 集集餘震b值與碎形維度分析
★ 應用太空大地測量法探討台南地區之地表變形	★ 電容耦合地電阻探測系統應用於地下管線與坑道之研究
★ 以交叉對比分析地震的時空分佈行態	★ 利用PI方法研究地震前兆活動
★ 臺灣深部電性構造及其板塊構造意義	★ 利用Pattern Informatics研究1999年台灣集集與2008年中國汶川地震之前兆現象
★ 模擬地震前兆行為之數值模型	★ 地電法於地下掩埋物調查之研究
★ 利用經驗模態分解法(EMD)探討潮汐效應對地震活動的影響	★ 利用遠距沙堆模型探討特徵地震之準週期性
★ 台灣天然電磁場觀測研究	★ 一維滑塊模型事件叢集特性分析與復發時間統計
★ TCDP井下地震儀之微地震紀錄的特性	★ 利用互相關方法探討大地電場與地震波的耦合行為

檔案

[Endnote RIS 格式]

[Bibtex 格式]

[相關文章]

[文章引用]

[完整記錄]

[館藏目錄]

[檢視]

[下載]

本電子論文使用權限為同意立即開放。
已達開放權限電子全文僅授權使用者為學術研究之目的，進行個人非營利性質之檢索、閱讀、列印。
請遵守中華民國著作權法之相關規定，切勿任意重製、散佈、改作、轉貼、播送，以免觸法。

摘要(中)

近年來，加卸載響應之比值（Loading/Unloading Response Ratio，LURR）已被應用於大陸、日本、加州等地區，作為中、短期大地震的前兆現象。從破壞力學的觀點來看，一個地震的孕育過程基本上是震源區內岩層的損害過程。LURR的概念就是描述地殼損害過程的演化特性，計算地震活動受到加載和卸載間彼此循環的變化量。加載－卸載的循環是依據最佳震源機制解（斷層可能破裂面之型態）受到地潮（Earth tide）引起的應力變化。本研究使用LURR測試臺灣島內自1994年至2010年，ML>6的地震前之損害過程的預兆現象，分別有1998瑞里地震、1999集集地震、1999嘉義地震、2000花蓮地震、2006卑南地震、2009名間地震與2010甲仙地震。LURR之定義為：在加載和卸載循環過程中，個別的加載響應量X+（應力－應變變化量）與卸載響應量X-的比值，表示為Y=X+/X-。在一個穩定的孕震系統中，Ｙ值大約為１；相反地，當系統達到不穩定狀態時，則Ｙ＞１。響應量可以由地震數目、班尼奧夫應變（Benioff strain）、震源區的破裂長度和面積大小與地震能量來取代。本研究藉由LURR探討上述七個地震事件，發現當響應量為地震能量時，能反映大地震之前兆現象。因此，本研究認為LURR能用來檢測地震異常活動區域與地殼災害性的破裂過程。

摘要(英)

The load-unload response ratio (LURR) has recently shown promising performance for earthquake forecasting in China, Japan and California. From the viewpoint of fracture mechanics, the preparation process of an earthquake is basically the damage process of the hypocentral media. LURR has been proposed as a measure characterizing the evolution of the damage process of the crust and is calculated from the seismicity variations during loading cycles respectively during the unloading cycles. The loading-unloading cycles are performed by the stress changes induced by the Earth tides acting upon some specific fault plane. In this study, the LURR has been used to detect the precursory damaging process before six large earthquakes, 1998 Rueili, 1999 Chi-Chi, 1999 Chiayi, 2000 Hualien, 2006 Peinan, 2009 Mingjian and 2010 Jiashian, Taiwan, earthquakes. LURR is defined as Y=X+/X-, where X+ and X- are the response rates during loading and unloading cycles, respectively. When a seismogenic system is relatively stable Y ~ 1. To the contrary, when the system is in an unstable state Y > 1. The response rates can be determined from either earthquake numbers, the Benioff strain, the size (length or area) scales of the focal zone or the seismic energy. Using the LURR index as presented in this study, the epicenters of these main shocks was found to exhibit anomalous high LURR values before these two events. We therefore suggest that the LURR approach could be helpful in detecting the anomalous seismicity and catastrophic damaging process of the crust.

關鍵字(中)

★ 庫倫破壞應力
★ 加卸載響應之比值

關鍵字(英)

★ CFS
★ LURR

論文目次

摘要.....................................................i
Abstract................................. ................ii
目錄..................................... ................iii
圖目..................................... ................iv
表目.....................................................vi
第一章緒論..............................................1
1.1 研究動機與目的.................................1
1.2 文獻回顧.......................................3
第二章研究方法...........................................5
2.1 加卸載響應之比值（LURR）理論....................5
2.2 地潮之庫倫破壞應力（CFS）計算...................8
第三章資料來源與選取.......................................15
3.1 資料來源.......................................15
3.2 資料選取.......................................16
第四章結果分析...........................................31
第五章討論與結論...........................................61
參考文獻............................................... .63

參考文獻

Agnew, D.C., SPOTL: Some programs for ocean-tide loading, SIO Ref. Ser., 96-8, 35pp, Scripps Inst. of Oceanogr. La Jolla, Calif., 1996.
Bak, P., Tang, C., and Kiesenfeld, K., Self-organized criticality: an explanation of 1/f noise, Phys. Rev. Lett., 59, 381-384, 1987.
Bak, P., Tang, C., and Wiesenfeld, K., Self-organized critical, Physical Review A., 38, 364-374, 1998.
Cochran, E.S., Vidale, J.E., and Tanaka, S., Earth tides can trigger shallow thrust fault earthquakes, Science, 306, 1164-1166, 2004.
Doan, M.L., Brodsky, E.E., Prioul, R., Signer, C., Tidal analysis of borehole pressure: A tutorial, University of California, Santa Cruz, 2006.
Heaton, T.H., Tidal triggering of earthquakes, Geophys. J. R. astr. Soc., 43, 307-326, 1975.
Kim, K.H., Chiu, J.M., Pujol, J., Chen, K.C., Huang, B.S., Yeh, Y.H., and Shen, P., Three-dimensional VP and Vs structural models associated with the active subduction and collision tectonics in the Taiwan region, Geophys. J. Int., 162, 204-220, 2005.
Lambert, A., Kao, H., Rogers, G., and Courtier, N., Correlation of tremor activity with tidal stress in the northern Cascadia subduction zone, J. Geophys. Res., 114, 2009, B00A08, doi: 10.1029/2008JB006038.
Métivier, M., de Viron, O., Conrad, C.P., Renault, S., Diament, M., and Patau, G., Evidence of earthquake triggering by the solid earth tides, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 278, 370-375, 2009.
Peng, K., Yin, X.C., and Zhang, L.P., A statistical investigation of the earthquake predictions using LURR, Pure Appl. Geophys., 163, 2353-2362, 2006.
Ranalli, G., Rheology of the Earth, 2nd ed., Chapmana and Hall, London.
Tanaka, S., Ohtake, M., and Sato, H., Tidal triggering of earthquakes in Japan related to the regional tectonic stress, Earth Planets Space, 56, 511-515, 2004.
Tinti, S., and Mulargia, F., Completeness analysis of a seismic catalog, Annales Geophysicae, 3(3), 407-414, 1985.
Wu, Y.M., Chang, C.H., Zhao, L., Shyu, J.B.H., Chen, Y.G., Sieh, K., and Avouac, J.P., Seismic tomography of Taiwan: Improved constraints from a dense network of strong-motion stations, J. Geophys. Res., 112, 2007, B08312, doi:10.1029/2007JB004983.
Yin, X.C., and Mora, P., Stress reorientation and LURR: implication for earthquake prediction using LURR, Pure Appl. Geophys., 163, 2363-2373, 2006.
Yin, X.C., Chen, X.Z., Song, Z.P., and Yin, C., A new approach to earthquake prediction: The Load/Unload Response Ratio (LURR) theory, Pure Appl. Geophys., 145, 701-715, 1995.
Yin, X.C., Wang, Y.C., Peng, K.Y., Bai, Y.L., Wang, H.T., and Yin, X.F., Development of a new approach to earthquake prediction: Load/Unload Response Ratio (LURR) theory, Pure Appl. Geophys., 157, 2365-2383, 2000.
Yin, X.C., Yu, H.Z., Kukshenko, V., Xu, Z.Y., Wu, Z., Li, M., Peng, K., Elizarov, S., and Li, W., Load-Unload Response Ratio (LURR), Aceelerating Moment/Energy Release (AM/ER) and State Vector Saltation as precursors to failure of rock specimens, Pure Appl. Geophys., 161, 2405-2416, 2004.
Yin, X.C., Zhanag, L.C., Zhang, Y., Peng, K., Wang, H., Song, Z., Yu, H., Zhang, H.H., Yin, C., and Wang, Y., The newest development of Load-Unload Response Ratio (LURR), Pure Appl. Geophys., 165, 711-722, 2008.
Yin, X.C., Zhang, L.P., Zhang, Y., Peng, K., Wang, H., Song, Z., Zhang, X., and Yuan, S., The peak point of LURR and its significance, Concurrency Computat. Pract. Exper., 22, 1549-1558, 2010.
Zhang, J., Xi, Q.W., Yang, L.Z., Chen, R.H., and Wang, W.X., A study on tidal force/stress triggering of strong earthquakes, Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 50(2), 404-411, 2007.
尹祥础，地震預報的新途徑－加卸載響應比理論，力學與實踐，第26卷第6期，2004。
尹祥础，地震預測新途徑的探索，中國地震，第1期，1987。
張暉輝，尹祥础，梁乃剛，中國大陸地區中強地震前加卸載響應比異常時間尺度的統計研究，第21卷，第4期，2005。
張暉輝，顏玉定，余懷忠，尹祥础，循環載荷下大試件岩石破壞聲發射實驗－岩石破壞前兆的研究，岩石力學與工程學報，第23卷第21期，2004。
陳運泰，回顧與展望，中國科學 D輯：地球科學，第39卷第12期，1633-1658，2009。

指導教授

陳建志(Chien-chih Chen)

審核日期

2012-6-27

推文