Development and Application of an Assessment Framework for Community Resilience and Vulnerability towards Hydrometeorological disaster inn St. Vincent and the Grenadines

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姓名

(Kenny Brenton Black) 查詢紙本館藏

畢業系所

國際永續發展碩士在職專班

論文名稱

(Development and Application of an Assessment Framework for Community Resilience and Vulnerability towards Hydrometeorological disaster inn St. Vincent and the Grenadines)

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摘要(中)

該研究為開發脆弱性和恢復能力的評估框架的方法，得到脆弱性，韌性和災害敏感性指標的發展。Analytic Hierarchy Process整合定性和定量來評估維度和子維度的脆弱性和抗禦能力指數的相對權重的貢獻。該評估模型應用於其中，脆弱性和恢復的指標分配依據其脆弱性和韌性在選定的社區貢獻分數。彈性脆弱的比率計算為研究區域的災害敏感性指數。結果表明社會層面和經濟層面的標準對於脆弱性和抗禦能力指數是最重要。這些結果進一步表明，Georgetown對災害最敏感和脆弱而Layou地區是最不敏感。Marriaqua社區被確定為具有高度韌性

摘要(英)

The study develops an assessment framework methodology for vulnerability and resilience, leading to the development of Vulnerability, Resilience and Disaster Susceptibility Indices. The Analytic Hierarchy Process was used to integrate qualitative and quantitative assessment in determining relative weight contribution of dimensions and sub-dimensions criteria to the Vulnerability and Resilience Indices. The assessment model was applied study areas where indicators of Vulnerability and Resilience were assigned scores based on their contribution to vulnerability and resilience in selected communities. The Disaster Susceptibility Index was calculated as the reciprocal of the ratio of resilience to vulnerability. The results showed that social dimension and the economic dimension criteria were most important to the Vulnerability and Resilience Indices respectively. The results further revealed that the Community of Georgetown was the most vulnerable (0.51) and susceptible (0.52) to disasters, while the community of Layou was least susceptible (0.26). The Marriaqua Community was determined to possess the highest level of resilience (1.22).

關鍵字(中)

★ Disaster Assessment
★ Analytic Hierachy Process
★ Vulnerability Index
★ Resilience Index

關鍵字(英)

★ Disaster Assessment
★ Analytic Hierarchy Process
★ Vulnerability Index
★ Resilience Index

論文目次

Chinese abstract.............................................................................................................................................. i
Abstract ......................................................................................................................................................... ii
Acknowledgements ...................................................................................................................................... iii
Table of Content ........................................................................................................................................... iv
List of Figures ............................................................................................................................................. vii
List of Tables .............................................................................................................................................. viii
Acronyms and Symbols ............................................................................................................................... ix
Chapter1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................... 1
1.1Background .......................................................................................................................................... 1
1.2 Vulnerability and Resilience ................................................................................................................ 1
1.3 Hydrometeorological Hazards in the Caribbean .................................................................................. 3
1.4 St. Vincent & the Grenadines ............................................................................................................... 4
1.5 Topography ......................................................................................................................................... 5
1.6 Climatology ......................................................................................................................................... 6
1.7 Economy ............................................................................................................................................. 8
1.8 St. Vincent & the Grenadines Hazard Risks ........................................................................................ 8
1.9 Disaster Management in St. Vincent & the Grenadines ..................................................................... 11
1.10 Study Areas ..................................................................................................................................... 12
Georgetown ......................................................................................................................................... 13
Marriaqua ............................................................................................................................................ 13
Layou ................................................................................................................................................... 14
1.11 Purpose of the Study ........................................................................................................................ 14
Chapter 2 Literature Review ........................................................................................................................ 16
2.1 AHP in Disaster Assessment studies .................................................................................................. 16
2.2 AHP Process ...................................................................................................................................... 18
Hierarchical Structuring ....................................................................................................................... 19
Pairwise Comparison ............................................................................................................................ 19
Vertically Synthesis .............................................................................................................................. 20
Logic Consistency ............................................................................................................................... 21
2.3 Group Decision in AHP ..................................................................................................................... 22
2.4 AHP Strength and Limits ................................................................................................................... 22
v
Chapter 3 Assessment Methodological Framework ..................................................................................... 23
3.1 Index Development ............................................................................................................................ 23
3.2 The Vulnerability Index ..................................................................................................................... 24
Table3.1 Vulnerability Dimension, Sub-Dimension and Indicators used in assessment ..................... 25
3.3 The Resilience Index .......................................................................................................................... 27
3.4 Indicators Normalization .................................................................................................................... 29
3.5 Sampling Procedure ........................................................................................................................... 30
3.6 AHP Pairwise Comparison and Criteria Weights ................................................................................ 31
3.7 Disaster Susceptibility Index .............................................................................................................. 32
3.8 Calculation of Indices ......................................................................................................................... 33
Chapter 4 Methodology ............................................................................................................................... 34
4.1 AHP Design ...................................................................................................................................... 35
4.2 Data Collection .................................................................................................................................. 35
4.3 Respondents Selection ........................................................................................................................ 36
4.4 Data Processing ................................................................................................................................. 36
4.5 Comparison and Normalized Matrices and Consistency .................................................................... 37
4.6 Vulnerability and Resilience Indices .................................................................................................. 38
Chapter 5 Results ........................................................................................................................................ 38
5.1 Vulnerability AHP Comparisons ....................................................................................................... 38
5.2 Resilience AHP Comparisons ............................................................................................................ 40
5.3 Vulnerability Index Calculations........................................................................................................ 41
5.4 Resilience Index Calculation .............................................................................................................. 42
5.5 Disaster Susceptibility Index .............................................................................................................. 42
Chapter 6 Discussion ................................................................................................................................... 43
6.1 Vulnerability Assessment ................................................................................................................... 43
6.2 Resilience Assessment ....................................................................................................................... 48
6.3 Indices ............................................................................................................................................... 53
6.4 Disaster Susceptibility Index .............................................................................................................. 57
Chapter 7 Conclusions, Limitations and Recommendation ......................................................................... 60
7.1 Conclusions ....................................................................................................................................... 60
7.2 Limitations ........................................................................................................................................ 62
vi
7.3 Recommendations .............................................................................................................................. 62
References ................................................................................................................................................... 64
Appendix A ................................................................................................................................................. 70
Appendix B ................................................................................................................................................. 75
Vulnerability Indicator Scores .............................................................................................................. 75
Appendix C ................................................................................................................................................. 80

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指導教授

吳瑞賢(Ray-Shyan Wu)

審核日期

2015-7-6

推文