摘要(英) |
The Taiwanese government established the "Taiwan Health Insurance Arrears and Late Fees Installment Method" in 2003, so that people who cannot pay off the arrears will have another payment option and the eligibility is very loose, as long as the total arrears exceeds NT$2,000.
Even so, there are still 8,000 cases (approximately 56.43%) of default cancellation due to failure to pay fees on time every year. However, according to the current handling method prescribed by the public authorities in Taiwan, only the minimum threshold and the number of fee periods can only be handled according to the undertaker.
The subjective handling of arrears instalment application cases completely ignores the applicant’s financial status, which leads to problems such as administrative inefficiency and customer litigation disputes.
This research uses an objective basis to evaluate the application phases to effectively reduce human interference and increase the contract performance rate.The basic data variables that may affect personal credit are classified as Logistic regression ModelⅠand the personal behavior that may affect installment payments are classified as Logistic regression ModelⅡ, using Logistic Regression analysis, KS test and ROC respectively Curve analysis, after estimating the significant variables, summarize the significant variables as Logistic regression Model Ⅲ, and perform Logistic regression analysis and model verification again to obtain age, gender, insurance type, number of installments, amount of installment, and number of installments and other 6 significant impact factors.
Finally, it is recommended that the public sector fully introduce the FICO (Fair Isaac Corporation) scoring system, by converting the FICO scoring system into an objective scoring mechanism for insurance premium installment applications, and the first to introduce the scoring mechanism into the public sector in a systematic way, which can effectively improve efficiency.
In addition, public sector agencies can extensively establish risk mechanisms in their core business, and have moved towards warning before the incident, reducing remedial actions after the incident or incurring a large amount of administrative costs.
|
參考文獻 |
王濟川、郭志剛,2003,Logistic迴歸模型:方法及應用,台北:五南。
杜建衡,2009,金融機構風險管理,台北:新陸。
吳明隆,2008,SPSS操作與應用-多變量分析實務,台北市:五南。
吳美倫、林俊辰,2010,無擔保小額信用貸款違約預警模型之研究,2010第13屆科際整合管理研討會,台北市東吳大學。
呂子立,2019,抓住信用的價值與風險-銀行信用貸款的價值衡量與迷思,金融聯合徵信雙月刊,35期:44-50。
林思維,2009,從信用風險管理談信用評分之整合與應用,金融聯合徵信雙月刊,8期:2-5。
林思維,2009,信用評分模型之省思與發展,金融聯合徵信雙月刊,8期:31-37。
柯柏成、孫玉清,2014,信用風險衡量模式之探討,證券櫃檯,170期:98-105。
張麗娟、賴振東,2014,對中小企業小額授信之風險預測-以台灣雲林地區銀行為個案,中華管理評論國際學報,17卷2期:1-16。
單良、蒙志偉、郭姣君、王慧喧編著,2000,信用評等模型12堂課-以消費金融為例,台北:台灣金融研訓院。
黃勝榮,2013,消費金融風險管理,台北:台灣金融研訓院。
陳妍沂,2009,銀行風管理之省思,金融聯合徵信雙月刊,9期:2-20。
葉彩蓮、陳怡安,2011,考量風險變數之銀行小額信用貸款評分模型,台灣銀行季刊,62卷2期:68-83。
蕭文卿、黃麗君、王國光,2007,現金卡消費者風險評估模型之研究,金融風險管理季刊,3卷1期:63-82。
Addo, P. M., Guegan, D., and Hassani, B.2018.Credit risk analysis using machine and deep learning models.Risk, 6(38):1-20.
Aini, Q.,Alwiyah, A., and Putri, D. M. 2019.Effectiveness of installment payment management using recurring scheduling to cashier performance.Atm,3(1):13-21.cl4
Butaru, F., Chen, Q., Clark, B., Das, S., Lo, A. and Siddique, A.2016. Risk and risk management in the credit card industry. Journal of Banking and Finance, 72:218-239.
Custard, C.2018. Installment land contracts & low-income homebuyers in Chicago: A call for legislative reform. DePaul Law Review, 67(3):526-556.
Dewri, L. V., Islam, R., and Saha1, N. K.2016.Behavioral analysis of credit card users in a developing country: A case of Bangladesh.International Journal of Business and Management,11(4):299-313.
Diana,T.2005.Credit risk analysis and credit scoring-now and in the future.Business Credit,107(3):12-16.
Emekter, R., Tu, Y., Jirasakuldech, B., and Lu, M. 2015.Evaluating credit risk and loan performance in online peer-to-peer (P2P) lending. Applied Economics, 47(1):54-70.
Ersoz, T., Ersoz, F., and Ozbilge, S. 2016.Determination of the bank′s customer risk profile: Data mining applications. International Scholarly and Scientific Research & Innovation 10(6):2199-2230.
Saunders, A., and Cornett, M. M. 2008 .Financial Institutions Management: A Risk Management Approach(6th ed).New York:McGraw-Hill Education.
Schreiner, M. 2000.Credit scoring for microfinance: Can it work?. Journal of Microfinance Risk Management, 2(2):105-118.
Singh, B. 2012.Manage credit risk. Bank News,112(6):12-14. |