| 摘要(英) |
This study aims to explore whether subdividing the precision parameter grid for searching the strongest double intersection of circular arcs of earthquakes (SDICAE) can effectively acquire more SDICAE data. Based on the obtained data, the study evaluates the effectiveness of strong earthquake predictions using different screening methods. Additionally, the study statistically analyzes the geometry affecting the prediction results and their possible reasons.
The results show that subdividing the precision parameter grid significantly increases the amount of data obtained for SDICAE, with an increase of up to 80%. Moreover, this study examines the impact of different geometric feature on the prediction results and finds that under specific screening conditions, SDICAE exhibits significant effectiveness in short-term strong earthquake predictions. After screening, the short-term (within 120 days) strong earthquake prediction hit rate of the strongest double convex intersection of circular arcs reaches 86.6% (13/15), while that of the strongest concave-convex intersection of circular arcs reaches 58.3% (7/12). Overall, the short-term (within 127 days) strong earthquake prediction hit rate of SDICAE is 74.1% (20/27).
In summary, this study confirms the feasibility and effectiveness of subdividing the precision parameter grid and demonstrates that SDICAE under specific screening conditions has significant effectiveness in short-term strong earthquake predictions. |
| 參考文獻 |
參考文獻
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至系統瀏覽論文 (2029-7-1以後開放)
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