1999-2023年電離層全電子含量對全球地震規模與深度之響應

以作者查詢圖書館館藏

、以作者查詢臺灣博碩士

、以作者查詢全國書目

、勘誤回報

、線上人數：57

、訪客IP：18.119.28.213

姓名

莊嘉緯(Chia-Wei Chuang) 查詢紙本館藏

畢業系所

太空科學與工程學系

論文名稱

1999-2023年電離層全電子含量對全球地震規模與深度之響應

相關論文

★ 台灣地區1996年散塊E層之變化	★ 2000年4月6日磁暴研究
★ 利用GPS觀測與IRI 模擬研究1997及2000年台灣經度赤道異常峰之變化	★ 台灣地區1996及2000年電離層散狀F層與全球定位系統相位擾亂之比較
★ 電離層地震前兆之研究	★ 電離層波動垂直能量傳播之研究
★ 南美洲磁赤道地區散狀F層於太陽活動極大期之研究	★ 台灣地區中界層於第22-23太陽週期間之特性研究
★ 利用全球定位系統觀測電離層地震前兆	★ 臺灣地區電離層季節異常與太陽活動之相關性研究
★ 台灣地區地震與閃電之研究	★ 台灣地區地震前之電離層電子濃度異常
★ 磁暴時低緯度電離層變化	★ 電離層赤道異常與赤道電噴流
★ 日出前及日落後電離層高度變化之研究	★ 電離層探測儀與全球定位系統聯合觀測電離層F層電漿密度不規則體

檔案

[Endnote RIS 格式]

[Bibtex 格式]

[相關文章]

[文章引用]

[完整記錄]

[館藏目錄]

至系統瀏覽論文 (2026-7-30以後開放)

摘要(中)

利用全球電離層圖(Global Ionosphere Map, GIM)統計研究1999-2023年日本、台灣、菲律賓、蘇門答臘、北美、南美、中國、阿拉伯、地中海等九個地區之地震前電離層全電子含量 (Total Electron Content, TEC) 異常，探討各個地區之地震電離層前兆 (seismo-ionospheric precursors, SIPs) 特徵，以判定和偵搜異常。利用單樣本 (Z) 檢定鑑別不同規模地震的時間前兆特性 (極性、時段、領先天數)，再藉由接收者操作特徵曲線 (Receiver Operating Characteristic curve, ROC curve) 確認前兆特性之統計顯著性。進一步利用勝算 (Odds) 統計探討前兆與地震規模、深度之關係。結果發現前兆勝算與地震規模具有正向關係。前兆勝算與地震深度研究的結果則顯示，於莫氏不連續面、岩石圈-軟流圈邊界與上下地函過渡帶，對應的前兆勝算通常會大於3.17，即顯著水準大於0.05。

摘要(英)

This study employs statistical analysis of the Global Ionosphere Map (GIM) to investigate the anomalies of the pre-earthquake ionospheric total electron content (TEC), and explore the characteristics of seismo-ionospheric precursors (SIPs) in nine regions including Japan, Taiwan, the Philippines, Sumatra, North America, South America, China, the Arabian region, and the Mediterranean during 1999-2023, The one-sample (Z) test is employed to identify the characteristics of temporal precursors (polarity, time period, leading days) for earthquakes of different magnitudes, and the statistical significance of the precursor characteristics is confirmed by Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The relationship between precursors and earthquake magnitude and depth is further explored using odds. The results indicate that the odds and earthquake magnitude are positively associated. The study of odds with earthquake depth reveals that odds (>3.17) are significantly greater than 1.0 at the Moho discontinuity, lithosphere-asthenosphere boundary, and upper and lower mantle transition zone.

關鍵字(中)

★ 電離層
★ 地震

關鍵字(英)

★ ionosphere
★ earthquake

論文目次

摘要 i
Abstract ii
致謝 iii
目錄 iv
圖目錄 v
表目錄 vii
一、緒論 1
1-1 地震電離層前兆 1
1-2 地底結構 7
1-3 研究動機 8
二、觀測資料與分析方法 9
2-1 全球電離層圖 9
2-2 電離層異常判定 12
2-3 Z檢定 14
2-4 接收者操作特徵曲線 16
2-5 勝算 20
三、分析結果 21
四、討論與結論 79
附錄A 83
參考文獻 102

參考文獻

Chen, Y. I., Huang, C. S. Liu, J. Y. (2015), Statistical evidences of seismo-ionospheric precursors applying receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve on the GPS total electron content in China, Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, 114(2), 393-402, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jseaes.2015.05.028
Conover, W. J. (1999) Practical nonparametric statistics, 3rd edn. Wiley, ISBN: 978-0-471-16068-7
Dobrovolsky, I. P., Zubkov, S. I., Miachkin, V. I. (1979), Estimation of the size of earthquake preparation zones, Pure and Applied Geophysics, 117, 1025-1044, https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00876083
Dziewonski, A. M., Anderson, D. L. (1981), Preliminary reference Earth model, Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors, 25(4), 297-356, https://doi.org/10.1016/0031-9201(81)90046-7
Efron, B. (1979), Bootstrap Methods: Another Look at the Jackknife, The Annals of Statistics, 7(1), 1-26, https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176344552
Fawcett, T. (2006), An introduction to ROC analysis, Pattern recognition letters, 27(8), 861-874, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.patrec.2005.10.010
Fowler, C. M. R. (2004), The Solid Earth : An Introduction to Global Geophysics, Cambridge University Press, https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511819643
Liu, J. Y., Chen, Y. I., Pulinets, S. A., Tsai, Y. B., Chuo, Y. J. (2000), Seismo-ionospheric signatures prior to M≥6.0 Taiwan earthquakes, Geophysical Research Letters, 27(19), 3113-3116, https://doi.org/10.1029/2000GL011395
Liu, J. Y., Chen, Y. I., Chuo, Y. J., Tsai, H. F. (2001), Variations of ionospheric total electron content during the Chi-Chi Earthquake, Geophysical Research Letters, 28(7), 1383-1386, https://doi.org/10.1029/2000GL012511
Liu, J. Y., Chuo, Y. J., Shan, S. J., Tsai, Y. B., Chen, Y. I., Pulinets, S. A., Yu, S. B. (2004), Pre-earthquake ionospheric anomalies registered by continuous GPS TEC measurements, Annales Geophysicae, 22, 1585-1593, https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-22-1585-2004
Liu, J. Y., Chen, Y. I., Chen, C. H., Liu, C. Y., Chen, C. Y., Nishihashi, M., Li, J. Z., Xia, Y. Q., Oyama, K. I., Hattori, K., Lin, C. H. (2009), Seismoionospheric GPS total electron content anomalies observed before the 12 May 2008 Mw7. 9 Wenchuan earthquake. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 114, A04320, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JA013698
Liu, J. Y., Chen, Y. I., Chen, C. H., Hattori, K. (2010), Temporal and spatial precursors in the ionospheric global positioning system (GPS) total electron content observed before the 26 December 2004 M9. 3 Sumatra–Andaman Earthquake. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 115, A09312, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JA015313
Liu, J. Y., Chen, C. H., Lin, C. H., Tsai, H. F., Chen, C. H., Kamogawa, M. (2011), Ionospheric disturbances triggered by the 11 March 2011 M9.0 Tohoku earthquake, Journal of Geophysical Research, 116, A06319, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JA016761
Liu, J. Y., Chen, C. H., Tsai, H. F. (2013), A statistical study on seismo-ionospheric precursors of the total electron content associated with 146 M ≥ 6.0 earthquakes in Japan during 1998–2011, Earthquake Prediction Studies: Seismo Electromagnetics, TERRAPUB, Tokyo, 1-13, ISBN:978-4-88704-163-9
Liu, J. Y., Chang, F. Y., Chen, Y. I., Chang, L. C., Wen, Y. C., Wu, T. Y., Chao, C. K. (2023), Pre‑earthquake Ionospheric Anomalies and Ionospheric Storms Observed by FORMOSAT‑5/AIP and GIM TEC, Surveys in Geophysics, 45, 577-602, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-023-09807-7
Marchitelli, V., Harabaglia, P., Troise, C., Natale, G. D. (2020), On the correlation between solar activity and large earthquakes worldwide, Scientific Reports, 10, 11495, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-67860-3
Mooney, W. D., Laske, G., Masters, T. G. (1998), CRUST 5.1: A global crustal model at 5° × 5°, Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 103(B1), 727-747, https://doi.org/10.1029/97JB02122
Ouzounov, D., Pulinets, S., Liu, J. Y., Hattori, K. Han, P. (2018), Multiparameter Assessment of Pre-Earthquake Atmospheric Signals, Pre‐Earthquake Processes: A Multidisciplinary Approach to Earthquake Prediction Studies, 20, 339-359, https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119156949.ch20
Pulinets, S. A., Ouzounov, D. P., Karelin, A. V., Davidenko, D. V. (2015), Physical bases of the generation of short-term earthquake precursors: A complex model of ionization-induced geophysical processes in the lithosphere-atmosphere-ionosphere-magnetosphere system, Geomagnetism and Aeronomy, 55, 521–538, https://doi.org/10.1134/S0016793215040131
Rychert, C. A., Harmon, N., Constable, S., Wang, S. (2020), The nature of the lithosphere‐asthenosphere boundary, Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 125, e2018JB016463, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JB016463
Sarlis, N. V., Christopoulos, S. R. G. (2014), Visualization of the significance of Receiver Operating Characteristics based on confidence ellipses, Computer Physics Communications, 185(3), 1172-1176, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cpc.2013.12.009
Vocadlo, L., Dobson, D. (1999), The Earth′s deep interior: advances in theory and experiment, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 357(1763), 3335-3357, https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.1999.0497
Youden, W. J. (1950), Index for rating diagnostic tests, Cancer, 3(1), 32-35, https://doi.org/10.1002/1097-0142(1950)3:1<32::AID-CNCR2820030106>3.0.CO;2-3

指導教授

劉正彥(Jann-Yenq Liu)

審核日期

2024-7-23

推文