Short-term forecasting of Taiwanese earthquakes using a universal model of fusion-fission processes

NCUIR > College of Earth Sciences > Department of Earth Sciences > journal & Dissertation > Item 987654321/104156

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://ir.lib.ncu.edu.tw/handle/987654321/104156

Title:	Short-term forecasting of Taiwanese earthquakes using a universal model of fusion-fission processes
Authors:	陳建志;Cheong, Siew Ann;Tan, Teck Liang;Chen, Chien-Chih;Chang, Wu-Lung;Liu, Zheng;Chew, Lock Yue;Sloot, Peter M. A.;Johnson, Neil F.
Contributors:	地球科學學院地球科學學系
Keywords:	639/705/1042;639/705/1046;704/2151/508;Earthquakes;Humanities and Social Sciences;multidisciplinary;Science;Seismic activity
Date:	2014-01-10
Issue Date:	2026-04-23 11:44:38 (UTC+8)
Publisher:	Nature Publishing Group;London: Nature Publishing Group UK
Abstract:	摘要： Predicting how large an earthquake can be, where and when it will strike remains an elusive goal in spite of the ever-increasing volume of data collected by earth scientists. In this paper, we introduce a universal model of fusion-fission processes that can be used to predict earthquakes starting from catalog data. We show how the equilibrium dynamics of this model very naturally explains the Gutenberg-Richter law. Using the high-resolution earthquake catalog of Taiwan between Jan 1994 and Feb 2009, we illustrate how out-of-equilibrium spatio-temporal signatures in the time interval between earthquakes and the integrated energy released by earthquakes can be used to reliably determine the times, magnitudes and locations of large earthquakes, as well as the maximum numbers of large aftershocks that would follow. 其他題名： Sci Rep 出版者： London: Nature Publishing Group UK 出版日期： 2014-01-10 出處： Scientific reports, 2014-01, Vol.4 (1), p.3624, Article 3624 資源來源： Publicly Available Content Database 版權： The Author(s) 2014 版權： Copyright Nature Publishing Group Jan 2014 版權： Copyright © 2014, Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved 2014 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved 識別號： ISSN: 2045-2322 識別號： EISSN: 2045-2322 識別號： DOI: 10.1038/srep03624 識別號： PMID: 24406467
Appears in Collections:	[Department of Earth Sciences ] journal & Dissertation

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