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    题名: Foreign direct investment and business cycle co-movements: The panel data evidence
    作者: Hsu,CC;Wu,JY;Yau,R
    贡献者: 經濟學系
    关键词: TRADE;SPECIALIZATION;SYNCHRONIZATION;DETERMINANTS;INTEGRATION;FINANCE;FDI
    日期: 2011
    上传时间: 2012-03-27 19:06:23 (UTC+8)
    出版者: 國立中央大學
    摘要: The previous literature has largely overlooked the possible channels through which foreign direct investment (FDI) might influence business cycle synchronization. In this study we analyze the linkages that exist among FDI, trade and industrial dissimilarity in relation to business cycle co-movements using a panel data set taken from 77 pairs of developed countries. The error component three-stage least squares (EC3SLS) estimates from a simultaneous equations model with panel data are shown to be superior to the estimates obtained from single equation models or simultaneous equations models with cross-sectional data. Our results indicate that FDI serves as a channel of international business cycle transmission that is equally important as the channels of trade and monetary policy. On the contrary, industrial dissimilarity is identified as having an indirect impact on the business cycle correlation through trade and FDI. Furthermore, our findings suggest that in our sample FDI is of the horizontal type and tends to substitute for trade. (C) 2011 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
    關聯: JOURNAL OF MACROECONOMICS
    显示于类别:[經濟學系] 期刊論文

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