COVID-19疫情對房價之影響－以臺灣六都為例;The Impact of the COVID-19 on Housing Prices: Evidence from Taiwan’s Six Special Municipalities.

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Title:	COVID-19疫情對房價之影響－以臺灣六都為例;The Impact of the COVID-19 on Housing Prices: Evidence from Taiwan’s Six Special Municipalities.
Authors:	葉靖平;Ye, Jing-Ping
Contributors:	產業經濟研究所
Keywords:	COVID-19;房價;六都;特徵價格;實價登錄;COVID-19;house price;six special municipalities;hedonic price;actual price registration
Date:	2025-07-31
Issue Date:	2025-10-17 12:15:29 (UTC+8)
Publisher:	國立中央大學
Abstract:	本研究旨在探討COVID-19疫情對臺灣六都房價之影響。隨著疫情自西元2019年末爆發以來，對全球經濟活動與民眾生活型態造成重大衝擊，筆者試圖研究此重大公共衛生事件是否改變國內房地產市場之價格。研究採用2016年至2023年之不動產實價登錄資料，結合疫情確診數、消費者信心指數與房貸利率等總體經濟指標，建構特徵價格之迴歸模型進行實證分析。依據實證結果顯示，雖然疫情相關變數如「新增確診人數」與「月增減變化」在統計上達顯著水準，但其對房價之經濟影響極為有限，顯示臺灣房地產市場具備高度韌性。相較之下，消費者信心對房價呈現顯著正向影響，顯示經濟預期與資金成本仍為房價波動主要驅動因素。此外，屋齡、樓層、建材結構與附加設施（如電梯、車位、管委會等）對房價亦具顯著影響，顯示住宅格局等特徵仍為購屋者決策重要依據。綜上，本研究指出疫情雖造成短期社會與經濟干擾，惟臺灣六都房價未受重大負面衝擊，反映出市場之結構性強韌與支撐力道。本研究成果可供未來研究面對類似危機事件時之政策設計與市場行為判斷參考。;This study examines the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on housing prices in Taiwan’s six special municipalities. Using real transaction data from 2016 to 2023 and incorporating macroeconomic indicators—including confirmed case counts, consumer confidence, and mortgage rates—a hedonic pricing model is constructed for empirical analysis. Results show that while pandemic-related variables are statistically significant, their economic impact on housing prices is limited, indicating strong market resilience. In contrast, consumer confidence and housing attributes such as building age, floor level, and amenities play a more substantial role. These findings highlight the robustness of Taiwan’s housing market and offer insights for policy responses to future crises.
Appears in Collections:	[Graduate Institute of Industrial Economics] Electronic Thesis & Dissertation

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