房屋租賃與買賣交易之循序趨勢與序列模式間關聯分析;Sequential Trends and Inter-Pattern Association Analysis on Large Housing Rental and Sales Dataset

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题名:	房屋租賃與買賣交易之循序趨勢與序列模式間關聯分析;Sequential Trends and Inter-Pattern Association Analysis on Large Housing Rental and Sales Dataset
作者:	蔡宗儒;Tsai, Tsung-Ju
贡献者:	資訊工程學系
关键词:	房屋市場研究;時間序列資料;序列模式探勘;序列分析;模式間關聯規則;housing market analysis;time series data;sequential pattern mining;sequence analysis;inter-pattern association rules
日期:	2025-10-15
上传时间:	2026-03-06 18:49:17 (UTC+8)
出版者:	國立中央大學
摘要:	房屋市場中的租賃與買賣交易行為長期受到政策調控、經濟景氣等多重因素影響，展現出具時間演變性的複雜趨勢。然而，既有研究多聚焦於橫斷面分析或短期交易的單一特徵進行預測，對於長期交易資料中多面向特徵的趨勢變化與趨勢模式間的關聯性仍缺乏深入的探討。本研究結合序列模式探勘與模式間關聯規則兩項技術，針對 2014 至 2023 年全台房屋租賃與買賣資料進行分析。研究首先將原始資料依縣市與年度進行時間序列化，建立涵蓋交易量、單價、面積等多項特徵的趨勢序列。接著透過 PrefixSpan 演算法挖掘長期中反覆出現的交易特徵趨勢，並進一步以模式間關聯規則分析趨勢之間的時間演變關係，探討租賃與買賣兩種交易特徵趨勢彼此在時間順序上的演變邏輯與潛在關聯。研究結果顯示，透過本研究設計的趨勢表示方式與序列分析流程，不僅可以有效掌握房屋租賃與買賣交易中具有代表性的交易特徵趨勢模式，亦能從特徵趨勢模式之中發現明確的時間遞移關係，顯示趨勢模式之間具有潛在的順序關聯性，而非獨立發展。此一發現不僅說明了房屋市場行為背後的演變邏輯，也突破了既有傳統的趨勢分析方式，擴展序列模式間關聯分析在房屋市場趨勢研究中的應用，填補了過往對趨勢間關聯性的探討不足。;The housing market′s rental and sales transactions have long been influenced by various factors such as government policies and economic conditions, exhibiting complex trends with temporal evolution. However, existing studies mostly focus on cross-sectional analyses or short-term predictions based on single transaction features, lacking in-depth exploration of long-term trend changes and inter-pattern relationships among multiple transaction characteristics. This study integrates sequential pattern mining and inter-pattern association rule techniques to analyze nationwide housing rental and sales data in Taiwan from 2014 to 2023. The raw data is first transformed into time series by city and year, constructing trend sequences that encompass multiple features such as transaction volume, unit price, and floor area. The PrefixSpan algorithm is then employed to uncover recurring transaction trend patterns over the long term, followed by the application of inter-pattern association rules to analyze the temporal relationships between trends, aiming to uncover the underlying sequential logic and potential associations between rental and sales transaction patterns. The results show that, through the proposed trend representation and sequential analysis framework, the study effectively captures representative transaction trend patterns in rental and sales markets, and further reveals clear temporal transition relationships among them. These findings indicate that such trend patterns follow a structured sequential order rather than evolving independently. This discovery not only reveals the temporal logic underlying market behavior but also advances beyond traditional trend analytical approaches, extending the application of inter-pattern association analysis in housing market trend research and addressing the existing gap in understanding trend-to-trend relationships.
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