颱風整合研究-應用於颱風預報之多尺度系集資料同化系統;Muti-Scale Ensenble Kalman Filter System for a Regional Numerical Model and Its Application to Typhoon Prediction

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题名:	颱風整合研究-應用於颱風預報之多尺度系集資料同化系統;Muti-Scale Ensenble Kalman Filter System for a Regional Numerical Model and Its Application to Typhoon Prediction
作者:	楊舒芝
贡献者:	國立中央大學大氣科學系
关键词:	大氣科學;防災工程;資訊科學;軟體
日期:	2012-12-01
上传时间:	2014-03-17 11:24:39 (UTC+8)
出版者:	行政院國家科學委員會
摘要:	研究期間：10108~10207;This proposal seeks to improve the regional mesoscale ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF) under the condition of strong nonlinearity and interactions between coupled synoptic-meso/small scale dynamics. When using the multi nested-domains for regional data assimilation, different model grid resolutions aim to represent the characteristics of different scales of the atmospheric flow. Correspondingly, errors are characterized by different scales and thus analysis corrections should consider such error characteristics. However, this may require high computation cost for assimilating different type of observation networks, e.g. the dense observations like radar data for high-resolution grid vs. the sparse observation like the station data. A weight interpolation method (Yang et al. 2009) with the WRF-LETKF system is proposed to effectively assimilate the dense observations with high-resolution grids without sacrificing the analysis accuracy of the high-resolution model grid and incorporate these weights into other domains. By constructing the multi-scale weighting maps, we propose to derive analysis for nested domains with better dynamical consistency. In addition to the high efficient LETKF analysis, we propose to establish the ensemble Kalman smoother for nested-domains for applying the outer-loop method (Yang et al. 2010) in order to adjust the nonlinear dynamical evolution and improve the interactions between synoptic and meso/small scales. We will investigate whether such dynamicallyconsistent initial conditions will be beneficial when performing regional prediction for typhoons or other severe weather events.
關聯:	財團法人國家實驗研究院科技政策研究與資訊中心
显示于类别:	[大氣科學學系] 研究計畫

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