近年生育率逐漸降低，大專生休退率卻自103年起逐年攀升，大專院校招生面臨衝擊，必須預防學生流失以維持整體校務經營與運作。教育部統計數據指出，臺灣大專生休學前兩大原因皆為自願退學而非成績未達標準，是否擁有特定特徵的學生會比其他學生更容易做出休退學的決定？而背後導致學生產生休退學動機的因素究竟又有哪些呢？ 現今在國內外的大專生教育領域中，存在許多與學生休退學相關的發展理論，探討了可能導致學生做出休退學決定的相關因素，本研究將參考學生發展理論所提出的特徵，自校務倉儲資料庫挑選與特徵相關的欄位，嘗試以實證資料與因果規則探勘作為實驗資料來源與方法，探討導致學生做出休退學決定的相關因素與蘊含在資料集中豐富的因果規則，並將產生的因果規則與學生發展理論相互比較，檢視實驗結果與理論的呼應程度。藉此提供給校內行政作為教育方針規劃的參考，協助大專生生涯發展歷程建立有效學習制度，降低休退率的同時亦提升學生在校互動與學習成效。 ;Recently, the fertility rate has gradually decreased, but the dropout rate of college students has been increasing year by year. The enrollment of colleges is facing an impact. Statistics from the Ministry of Education point out that both the top two reasons for college students in Taiwan to suspend their studies are voluntary dropout rather than substandard grades. Are students with certain characteristics more likely to make the decision to suspend their studies than other students? And what are the factors behind the motivation of students to dropout? In the field of college education, there are many development theories related to student dropout. We try to use empirical data and causal rule mining as experimental data sources and methods, and explores the relevant factors that lead students to decide to dropout. The resulting causal rules are compared with the student development theory to examine how well the rules correspond to the theory. This provides the school administration as a reference for educational policy planning, assists the career development of college students to establish an effective learning system, reduces the dropout rate, and improves students′ interaction and learning effectiveness in school.
