運輸需求整合模型統合架構之探討

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姓名

陳文婷(Wen-Ting Chen) 查詢紙本館藏

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土木工程學系

論文名稱

運輸需求整合模型統合架構之探討
(A Combined Model Framework for Four-Step Travel Demand Procedure)

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摘要(中)

本研究基於用路人之均衡原則，建構包括旅次產生、旅次分佈、運具選擇與交通量指派在內之多運具的四階段整合性模型，以克服傳統旅運預測之四階段界面不一致性的問題。經由改良後之超級路網的詮釋，該整合模型可視為一個交通量指派之延伸問題。本研究另設計小規模路網，以Frank-Wolfe演算法分別針對線性與非線性路段成本函數加以求解驗證，並歸納出需求函數之係數的限制，文末亦比較整合模型與反饋式循序性模型之優劣點，並做出結論與建議。

摘要(英)

Based on Wardrop first principle, this research formulates a combined model that covers four steps, i.e., trip generation, trip distribution, modal split, traffic assignment, embedded in the travel demand forecasting procedure. Using the modified supernetwork representation, the proposed combined model can be naturally regarded as an extension of the fixed demand traffic assignment model. A hypothesized small network was demonstrated using the Frank-Wolfe algorithm for both linear and nonlinear link cost functions. The experiment also shows a certain restriction must be imposed on the parameters of origin-destination demand functions. A comparison of our combined model and the sequential travel demand forecasting with feedback was also made. A few remarks are given in the end.

關鍵字(中)

★ 旅次產生
★ 旅次分佈
★ 運具選擇
★ 交通量指派
★ 整合性模型
★ 超級路網

關鍵字(英)

★ trip generation
★ trip distribution
★ modal split
★ traffic assignment
★ combined model
★ supernetwork

論文目次

摘要............................................................................................................................... I
Abstract ......................................................................................................................... II
誌謝.............................................................................................................................. III
目錄............................................................................................................................... V
圖目錄........................................................................................................................ VII
表目錄....................................................................................................................... VIII
第一章緒論.................................................................................................................. 1
1.1 研究動機.......................................................................................................... 1
1.2 研究目的.......................................................................................................... 2
1.3 研究範圍與假設.............................................................................................. 3
1.3.1 研究假設............................................................................................... 3
1.3.2 研究範圍............................................................................................... 3
1.4 研究方法與流程.............................................................................................. 4
第二章文獻回顧.......................................................................................................... 6
2.1 循序性運輸需求模型..................................................................................... 6
2.2 反饋式循序性運輸需求模型......................................................................... 7
2.3 整合性運輸需求模型................................................................................... 12
2.4 小結............................................................................................................... 14
第三章運輸需求整合模型........................................................................................ 17
3.1 模型使用符號說明....................................................................................... 17
3.2 均衡條件........................................................................................................ 20
3.3 單限二階段整合模型................................................................................... 20
3.4 單限三階段整合模型.................................................................................... 22
3.5 單限四階段整合模型................................................................................... 24
3.6 四階段整合模型之最佳化條件................................................................... 25
3.7 超級路網....................................................................................................... 29
第四章求解演算法.................................................................................................... 32
4.1 Frank-Wolfe 演算法 ...................................................................................... 32
4.2 搜尋移動方向............................................................................................... 33
4.3 決定移動步幅............................................................................................... 35
4.4 更新可行解與收斂測詴............................................................................... 40
第五章範例測詴分析................................................................................................ 43
5.1 線性成本函數之輸入資料............................................................................ 43
5.2 線性成本函數之測詴結果........................................................................... 47
5.2.1 測詴環境............................................................................................ 47
5.2.2 考慮目標值收斂精度........................................................................ 47
5.2.3 與Lingo 輸出結果相驗證 ................................................................ 48
5.3 非線性成本函數範例................................................................................... 51
5. 4 假設錯誤之需求函數................................................................................ 55
第六章三種旅運預測模型之比較............................................................................ 59
6.1 循序性、反饋式循序性、整合性模式之比較............................................ 59
6.1.1 循序性模型與反饋式循序性模式.................................................... 61
6.1.2 循序性模型與整合性模式................................................................ 62
6.1.3 反饋式循序性模型與整合性模式.................................................... 62
6.2 與國內近期之反饋式循序性模式文獻比較................................................ 64
第七章結論與建議.................................................................................................... 68
7.1 結論............................................................................................................... 68
7.2 建議............................................................................................................... 69
參考文獻...................................................................................................................... 70
附錄A .......................................................................................................................... 74
附錄B .......................................................................................................................... 75
附錄C .......................................................................................................................... 79

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指導教授

陳惠國(Huey-Kuo Chen)

審核日期

2010-7-20

推文