| dc.description.abstract | In order to find out the development trend of chassis and charging foundation equipment of electric vehicle in 2020, The Modified Delphi Method, External drivers analysis, Internal resource assessment and scenario are combined to development to construct the” Markov Modified Delphi Method Scenario Analysis”. The method is used to find out the transitions of key factors which are changed by time and to realize the development trend of electric vehicle’s chassis and charging foundation equipment.
The research focus on chassis system and Changing foundation equipment.Through the analysis and figure out the uncertain states of the key factors which are”steering column electric power steering”,” Anti-lock Braking System”,”charging standard-JEVS G105”,”charging power-380V”,”charging convenience-House”,”charging fees-pay in advance and pre-paid”and”charging environment-simple work service”. The key factors of Markov changeless state are used to describe the background of scenario, and then key factors of Markov changeable state and uncertain state are added to divide into seven portfolios: basis scenario, assume scenario Ⅰ, assume scenario Ⅱ, future scenario, Breakthrough scenarioⅠ, Breakthrough scenario Ⅱ and Challenge scenario. Through seven scenarios let government, industry and research units realize development trend of electric vehicle’s chassis and charging foundation equipment.This research not only triggers these related units to put in resource and research, but also depicts electric vehicle’s usability engineering and concept of system integration in 2020.
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