摘要(英) |
After the global financial tsunami, the public is more concerned about the changes in the economy and willing to foresee economic trends. From past research, the business indicator was separated into component series to explore its correlations and individual representation, or trying to structure a new component series. In this study, we integrated multiple component series while discussing business indicators.
For the export, we selected a total of 24 sequential patterns categorized into five groups, relevant to the Index of export orders, Inventories to sales ratio for manufacturing, Regular employees on payrolls in industry & services, SEMI book-to-bill ratio, and TAIEX average closing price. For the import, we selected 3 sequential patterns related with Interbank overnight call-loan rate.
In this study, we discover the sequential associations between business indicators and customs export import indicators. The findings are summarized and compared with relevant research result and component indicators frame made by National development council. We also try to comment about it through theory and shipping industry knowledge.
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