摘要: | 根據本研究結果,經由產業組織理論「結構-行為-績效」的產業分析架構,可以解釋與推論臺灣橡膠製品產業環境。且從結構分析中得知,臺灣橡膠產業供應鏈擁有完整體系,包括上游石油煉油裂解廠、合成橡膠原料生產廠,以及橡膠製品加工廠,與下游汽機車、自行車組裝廠等橡膠製品消費產業,成為世界上同時擁有原料、加工及應用之多重優勢國家,2012年合成橡膠原料產能排名世界第7,正新公司輪胎橡膠製品營業額居世界第9。過去的橡膠製品產業受到競爭環境之改變,造成產業外移,產值占製造業比例因此逐年下降,2012年僅占製造業的0.7%;也因為政府調整產業政策,吸引台商回流投資策略奏效,即產業競爭環境與政府產業政策,影響了企業投資與發展意向,再次顯示產業環境與產業政策的重要性。分析橡膠製品產值,從2002年加入WTO世貿組織到2012年的10年間,複合成長率僅4.4%,低於製造業的複合成長率5.7%。而政府調整產業政策後,也促使2010年正新公司與2012年建大公司兩家大型輪胎公司陸續發表提高對臺灣的新投資規劃,相信於正式量產後將可以帶動我國橡膠製品業產值朝製造業整體1%的方向邁進。又,從數據資料中得知2010~2012年間工業用橡膠製品中的橡膠管、橡膠迫緊(油封)仍處於高進口單價狀況,而對於手套、橡膠絲等其他橡膠製品,則處於大量低價進口狀況,因此對於國內不同需求的橡膠製品,政府宜適時分別採取政策或提供誘因,促使企業轉型升級、調整產業結構,持續繁榮經濟。 According to this study, by the theory of industrial organization " Structure – Conduct - Performance” (SCP) industry analysis framework can be explained with the inference Taiwan rubber products industry environment. Based on authentic analysis, the rubber industry supply chain in Taiwan has a complete system, including upstream oil cracking plant, synthetic rubber raw material production plant, as well as rubber products factory, and downstream of the automotive, motorcycle, bicycle assembly plants and other industrial rubber products consumption. And these advantages enable us to become one of the countries in the world with raw materials, products manufacturing and final consumption. Relevant examples for reference are that 2012 synthetic rubber material capacity ranked world No. 7, as well as Cheng Shin (Maxxis) tire rubber products company turnover ranked world No. 9.Many rubber products makers have relocated their factories abroad under the influence of competitiveness, making the output decline. In 2012 the output value is only 0.7% in the manufacturing sector. Due to the fact that the government adopted new industrial policies, Taiwanese investments were attracted to return to Taiwan. Both the better industrial environment and the government’s encouraging industrial policies worked hand in hand to affect the intentions of investment and development of the manufacturers. Once again, they were proved to be key factors. During the decade from 2002, the year we entered WTO to 2012, the output value of rubber products has only grown 4.4%, which is lower than the manufacturing sector CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) of 5.7% in the composite. The Government made a second adjustment of industrial policy, making Cheng Shin (Maxxis) company and KENDA company willing to continue to increase the investment to their plants in Taiwan. After mass production with these investment, it will be expected to drive the whole rubber industry manufacturers to reach the goal of 1% of the total manufacturing sector.From 2010 to 2012, according to statistical data, the price of imported rubber hose and rubber packing (seal) was still high, while the rubber gloves, rubber thread import price was very low. Therefore, for the different needs of the domestic rubber products, the government should enact timely policy or provide incentives for corporate restructuring and adjustment of industrial structure, so that for prosperity to continue. |