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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://ir.lib.ncu.edu.tw/handle/987654321/68551

    Title: 房價對生育率的影響-以台灣20縣市為例;The Effect of House Price Affects The Total Fertility —Take Twenty District of TAIWAN Area as an Example.
    Authors: 陳彥竹;Chen,Yen-Chu
    Contributors: 產業經濟研究所在職專班
    Keywords: 房價所得比;總生育率;固定效果模型;house price;total fertility rate;fixed effect model
    Date: 2015-07-21
    Issue Date: 2015-09-23 12:20:44 (UTC+8)
    Publisher: 國立中央大學
    Abstract: 本文使用內政部不動產資訊平台的「房價所得比」資料與內政部戶政司網站「總生育率」、「粗結婚率」資料以及中華民國統計資訊網「失業率」資料,分析民國92年到民國103年間(共12年),台灣地區20縣市的房價所得比對總生育率所造成的影響。資料橫跨各縣市在此12年間所有數據,形成追蹤資料(Panel Data)形態,利用普通最小平方法(Ordinary Least Squares)與固定效果模型(Fixed Effect Model)分析。
    ;This research used housing price index data in the real estate information platform of Taiwan Ministry of the Interior website & total fertility rate、crude marriage rate data in the Taiwan Department of Household Registration website & unemployment rate data in the National Statistics of Republic of China (Taiwan) website to analysis how the housing price of twenty districts in Taiwan main land affected the total fertility during 2003 to 2014(twelve years in total).
    Data form as a standard panel data. It included all data in the twelve years across each districts. We used the ordinary least squares & fixed effect model to analysis the data.
    The empirical research result told us that the housing price has a positive significant effect on total fertility rate. The root cause might be the three top hosing loan loading cities-Taipei City、New Taipei City、Taoyuan City have the 37% population of Taiwan total population. The empirical results confirmed that the three cities might own the “home equity effect” which made the housing price and total fertility rate relationship positive. In the same time, the “home equity effect” do not exist in other cities. For the reason population rate of the three cities is large than population rate of the whole Taiwan area, we can get the result that the housing price has a positive significant effect on total fertility rate for whole Taiwan area. Unemployment rate has a negative significant effect on total fertility rate,but only the deferred Unemployment rate (deferred for one year)has it. Crude marriage rate has a positive significant effect on total fertility,no matter the current or deferred one (deferred for one year). Especially the crude marriage rate has a much huge significant coefficient than deferred curde marriage rate’s coefficient.
    Appears in Collections:[產業經濟研究所碩士在職專班 ] 博碩士論文

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