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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://ir.lib.ncu.edu.tw/handle/987654321/71193

    Title: 分析氣候及土地利用變遷情境對鳳山溪流域水文通量之影響;Analyze the Impact of Hydrological Fluxes of Climate and Land Use Changes in Fongshan River Basin
    Authors: 林志儒;Lin,Chih-Ju
    Contributors: 土木工程學系
    Keywords: 土地利用變遷;氣候變遷;SWAT 模式;CLUEs 模式;Land use change;CLUE-s;MGWLF;Climate change
    Date: 2016-07-29
    Issue Date: 2016-10-13 12:11:45 (UTC+8)
    Publisher: 國立中央大學
    Abstract: 人類對地球陸地表面造成了前所未有的影響,這些變化影響了地球的
    年到2039 年)在土地利用變遷與氣候變遷之情境下,流域內水文通量的變化。
    首先分析土地利用變遷因子,再使用CLUE-s 模式模擬未來土地利用變遷之
    及山坡地限制開發,將模擬出未來土地利用變遷之結果與TCCIP 所提供之
    五種未來氣候變遷情境A1B、RCPs,代入到SWAT 水文模式中進行水文量
    表逕流造成影響但其影響力相對於土地利用的面積變化影響較小。;Land use change, being the consequence of the interactions of the environment,
    society economic, policy and human activity, causes significant impacts on
    water environment. These impacts can be magnified under climate change
    (global warming) situation which is expected to rise the temperature and alter
    the hydrological cycle. This study investigates both land use changes and
    climate changes to analyze the impact of hydrological fluxes under future
    scenario. The CLUE-s model, SWAT model and WGEN model were employed
    to estimate the impacts of hydrological fluxes of Fongshan River basin in
    Northern Taiwan, given land use changes and climate changes condition
    projected in 2031. For data analysis, GIS was employed to analyze the driving
    forces of land use changes, then CLUE-s model to project the land use changes
    in 2031. The outcomes of land use change, along with the introduction of 5
    climate change scenarios, namely AIB and 4 RCPs, were investigated with the
    use of SWAT model to estimate the variation of hydrological fluxes. The results
    of simulation indicated that the monthly stream flow under land use changes
    alone increases 9.4 mm, while evapotranspiration decreases 4.6 mm. However,
    the impacts of climate change with current land use condition showed monthly
    stream flows from January to May decrease 4.1mm, while those from June to
    December increase 7.2 mm, in average. In conclusion, the relative influence on
    hydrologic fluxes due to climate change and land use changes are not consistent.
    Appears in Collections:[土木工程研究所] 博碩士論文

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